以太坊50天惊魂跌宕:价格猛跌45%,投资者收益腰斩
50 days in Ether: 45% price falls and investors cut their backs.
以太坊,50天惊魂跌宕:价格猛跌45%,投资者收益惨遭“腰斩”
Etheria, 50 days of shock: 45% price falls and investors' earnings are cut off.
有业内专家向《国际金融报》记者分析称,目前数字货币市场整体低迷,但也是一个价值回归理性的过程。“长远来看,比特币和以太币依旧具备很大价值”。
In-house experts have analysed the current general weakness of the digital currency market to Reporters of the International Finance Journal, but it is also a process to rationalize values. “Betcoin and Ether remain valuable in the long run.”
世界杯正在火热进行当中,足球彩票市场火爆。与之相反的则是,数字货币市场阴云密布,一派萧条。自5月初开始,持续了一个多月的“低迷”币市再显颓势。
Conversely, the digital currency market is clouded with a depression. Since early May, the “low” currency market, which has lasted for more than a month, has resurfaced.
6月25日,比特币、以太币等主流数字货币延续下滑态势,纷纷逼近前低值。数字货币行业数据平台非小号显示,截至当日下午3:00,比特币价格为6170美元,以太币价格为452美元,较一个半月前,分别下跌38%和45%。不少投资者资产收益遭受“腰斩”暴击。
On June 25, mainstream digital currencies, such as Bitcoin and Temas, continued their downward trend, moving closer to previous lows. The digital-currency sector data platform, with its non-small sizes, showed that, as of the same day, at 3 p.m., the price of Bitcoin was $6170, at $452, down 38% and 45%, respectively, compared to a month and a half ago.
有业内专家向《国际金融报》记者分析称,目前数字货币市场整体低迷,但也是一个价值回归理性的过程。“长远来看,比特币和以太币依旧具备很大价值”。
In-house experts have analysed the current general weakness of the digital currency market to Reporters of the International Finance Journal, but it is also a process to rationalize values. “Betcoin and Ether remain valuable in the long run.”
▲ 以太币一年期价格走势图,来源:非小号
45%的滑落
在非小号上,《国际金融报》记者发现,6月25日,以太币价格为452美元,而上一个高峰值在5月6日,当时价格为827美元,50天内以太币价格足足跌落了45%。而在更早的1月14日,以太币价格高达1506美元,总市值达到1461亿美元,超过目前价格3倍多。
On a non-quantifiable scale, International Finance Reporters found that on 25 June, the price was US$ 452 in the Tai currency, while the previous peak was US$ 827 on 6 May, when the price fell 45% in the same currency within 50 days. On 14 January, earlier, the price was US$ 1506 in the same currency, with a total market value of US$ 14.6 billion, more than three times the current price.
和以太币相似,比特币也处于下滑之中。非小号显示,5月6日,比特币价格为9961美元,随后不断跌落,进入6月第一天,价格跌破八千,为7571美元;6月12日,“破七”跌至6771美元,到6月25日,比特币价格已低至6170美元,较5月初,跌幅达到38%。
Bitcoin is also in decline, similar to the NT. The non-details show that on 6 May, the price of Bitcoin was $9961, and then continued to fall, reaching the first day of June, when the price fell to $8,000, or $7571. On 12 June, the “Break Seven” fell to $6771. By 25 June, the price of Bitcoin was down to $6170, or 38 per cent at the beginning of May.
币价下滑令投资者财富大量缩水,进入币圈一年的陈明(化名)去年6月开始投资5万元炒币,最高时账面财富曾达到240万元。今年1月在套现30万元之后,陈明秉持长线原则准备“按兵不动”,但这段时间,他在以太币上就折损了一半的钱,“大概五六十万。”陈明表示,尽管缩水的资产也是之前币价上涨所得,但资金被腰斩还是令他有些不甘心。
The fall in currency prices caused investors to shrink their wealth, and Chen Ming, who had been in the currency for a year, began investing $50,000 last June, up to $2.4 million in book wealth. This January, after paying $300,000, Chen was prepared to “stay down” on a long-line basis, but during that time he lost half of his money in the taser, “about 5.6 million.” Chen Ming said that although the deflated assets were also the proceeds of the previous increase in currency prices, the decapitation of the money caused him some discomfort.
网贷之家CEO石鹏峰认为,最近的暴跌主要和市场整体情绪有关,数字货币市场表现都很低迷,比特币作为带头大哥,它的涨跌对其他虚拟货币都会起到风向标的作用,在他看来,以太币的此次价格回落恰是一个价值回归的过程。
The recent collapse was largely linked to the overall mood of the market, the low performance of the digital currency market, the rise and fall of Bitcoin, as the leader of the group, would serve as a signpost for other virtual currencies, and, in his view, the fall in the price of the talisman was a process of return of value.
DAEX基金会主席谷燕西则表示,数字货币的价格起伏很正常,毕竟之前一段时间价格已经经历了一波暴涨。另一方面谷燕西认为近期关于虚拟货币的负面消息较多,“尤其是德克萨斯大学的研究表明,比特币的价格实际上受到了操纵,这在很大程度上会影响市场对比特币、以太币及其他加密数字货币价值的判断”。
The President of the DAEX Foundation, Yanxi Tani, said that the price of the digital currency had fluctuated quite normally, after all, after a wave of price hikes over a period of time. Guinxi, on the other hand, considered that there had been more recent negative news about the virtual currency, “especially the University of Texas’s study that the price of Bitcoin had actually been manipulated, which would largely affect the market’s appreciation of the value of the bitcoin, the tautco, and other encrypted digital currencies.”
此前,据《纽约时报》报道,德克萨斯大学的John M.Griffin教授和Amin Sham联合撰写了一篇论文称虚拟货币Tether(USDT)涉嫌操纵2017年比特币价格。论文表示,2017年12月份,比特币价格的上涨至少有一半是由Tether和Bitfinex造成的。而据公开数据显示,比特币的价格在2017年12月曾高涨至2万美元,创历史新高,这也推动了国内区块链市场进入一波新的热潮。
Previously, the New York Times reported that Professor John M. Griffin of Texas University and Amin Sham had co-authored a paper stating that the virtual currency Tether (USDT) was suspected of manipulation of bitcoin prices in 2017. The paper stated that in December 2017, at least half of the price increases in bitcoin were caused by Tether and Bitfinex. According to public data, the price of bitcoin had risen to $20,000 in December 2017, reaching historic heights, which also contributed to a new surge in the domestic segment chain market.
彼时,以太币也顺势上扬,从去年12月开始,经历了长达一个多月的猛涨,最高价格达到1500多美元。
At the same time, the Ethercopics were also on the rise and, starting in December last year, experienced a surge of more than a month, with a maximum price of more than $1,500.
以太币遭遇新危机
There's a new crisis in Ether.
业内人士普遍认为以太币价格的跌落属于市场正常行为,谷燕西表示,目前大部分的ICO项目依旧是以太币作为融资的主要数字货币,并且美国监管机构认为比特币和以太币不是证券,从长期来看,这些都是对以太币的利好信息。他对《国际金融报》记者表示:“比特币和以太币还是有长期的价值。”
In industry, it is widely believed that the fall in the price of the tae currency is normal in the market, and Guinxi states that most of the current ICO projects are still being financed in the tae currency as the main digital currency, and that US regulators consider that Bitcoin and Etaco are not securities, which in the long run are good information for the taeco. He says to the Journal of International Finance: “Bitco and Ether are still of long-term value.”
但随着全球市场对ICO的监管,ICO项目正处于一个数量减少的趋势,投资者也对此持悲观态度。EY风投领导人Jeff Grabow曾明确表示:“ICO的数量将会减少,毕竟它是无法取得风险融资的。有相关数据表示,2017年通过ICO获得的资金数量在50亿美元左右,而通过风险投资获得的融资数量在710亿美元左右。在2018年,我们将看到ICO的数量减少,因为证券交易委员会将继续监管这类活动。”
But with global market regulation of ICO, the ICO project is on a downward trend, and investors are pessimistic about it. “The number of ICOs will be reduced, after all, because it will not have access to risk financing. There are data that the amount of ICOs in 2017 is around $5 billion, while the amount of finance through venture capital is about $71 billion. In 2018, we will see a decrease in the number of ICOs, as the Securities and Exchange Commission will continue to regulate such activities.”
Jeff Grabow的预言在现实中得到了验证,据数字资管集团Tokenmania 数据显示,2018年1月到5月,ICO融资项目总体呈递减趋势,1月到5月的项目数量分别为65个、42个、29个、17个和21个,融资总额分别为15.25亿、12.55亿、9.08亿、2.36亿和3.78亿美元。
Jeff Grabow's predictions were validated in reality, and according to the Digital Control Group Tokenmania, between January and May 2018, the number of projects financed by the ICO declined overall, from 65, 42, 29, 17 and 21 projects in January to May 2018, totalling $1,525 million, 1,255 million, 908 million, 236 million and $378 million, respectively.
一位不愿具名的业内人士分析称,ICO项目的减少对以太币的市场流通和价值会产生消极影响,这是以太币面临的一大危机。“比特币已经在全社会形成了共识,但以太币的共识目前还仅限于币圈内。”在评判以太币的业界地位时,该名业内人士如是表示。他认为,共识变小也是影响以太币价格的一大主因。
One unnamed industrialist analysed the negative impact that the decline in the ICO project could have on the market circulation and value of the NT, which is a major crisis for the NT. “Bitco has developed a consensus across society, but the NT consensus is currently confined to the currency circle.” When judging the position of the NT-based industry, it was expressed by the incumbent.
另一方面,以太币智能合约频发安全事件,2018年4月,以太币上的智能合约也接连发生2起整数溢出漏洞攻击,攻击者凭空增发了大量的token,使得投资者的资产被严重稀释,这给币圈带来巨大震动。
On the other hand, there were frequent security incidents in the E-Ten smart contract, which in April 2018 was followed by two consecutive integer leaks, resulting in a massive build-up of token by the attackers, which resulted in a serious dilution of investors'assets, which caused a huge shock to the currency ring.
被誉为区块链2.0时代的新生代表,以太币被认为可以超越比特币的一大缘由就在于能通过智能合约完成一些应用,但智能合约遭受攻击的事件让业内对此打上一个问号。安全隐患也成为以太币另一个需要应对的新问题。
The reason for being known as the new representative of the block chain of 2.0 is that it is thought to be possible to go beyond bitcoin is that some applications can be done through smart contracts, but the attack on smart contracts has given the industry a question mark. Security concerns have also become another new problem that the currency needs to deal with.
对此,石鹏峰持积极态度,他表示,任何计算机系统包括操作系统、开发语言等都会有漏洞,尤其是开放的平台,而以太币的智能合约其实就是在区块链上实现了一个可执行的计算机系统。“存在漏洞不可避免,它也处在不断修补之中。”在石鹏峰看来,此次以太币价格暴跌和智能合约安全事件关联不大。
In response, he said that there would be loopholes in any computer system, including operating systems, developing languages, and especially open platforms, and that a smart contract in the amount of money would actually achieve an enforceable computer system on the block chain. “A gap is inevitable, and it is in the process of being repaired.” In the case of the peak, there was little correlation between the fall in the price of the currency and the security of the smart contract.
谷燕西也认为这更多是一个市场的正常变动,与此同时,他认为最近火热的EOS竞选超级节点的营销活动,也在一定程度上分流了市场对以太币的兴趣。
Tanxi also considers this to be a more normal change in a market, while he believes that the recent hot EOS campaign for supernode marketing also diverts to some extent the market's interest in the Ether currency.
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