上周对于比特币(BTC)投资者来说是巨大的冲击,因为价格突破了12,000美元的关键关口,最终从11,300美元飙升至13,300美元,一周内上涨了2000美元。
Last week was a huge shock to Bitcoin investors, as prices broke through a critical threshold of $12,000 and eventually jumped from $11,300 to $13,300, up by $2,000 within a week.
比特币价格创下年度新高,而美元也一直表现疲软。除此之外,多家上市公司还发布了有关比特币(而非美元)配置的声明。
Bitcoin prices are at a new high in the year, and the dollar has been weak. In addition, several listed companies have issued statements about Bitcoin’s (rather than the United States dollar) configuration.
所有这些观点都表明牛市会延续下去,但应该关注哪些水平呢?
All these points suggest that the cattle market will continue, but at what level should attention be paid?
11600-12000美元的区域是任何看涨延续的关键区域。自2018年初熊市开始以来,这一阻力区域一直持续。30多月来,比特币的价格一直未能突破这一阻力区,直到上周。
The $11,600-12,000 area is a critical area for any growth. This resistance area has been going on since the beginning of Bear City in early 2018. Bitcoin prices have not been able to break through this resistance area for more than 30 months, until last week.
牛市的开始往往会受到支撑/阻力测试的影响,这种测试也会出现在1万美元的水平上。在这个支撑/阻力测试之后,继续向上运行。
The start of the cattle market is often influenced by support/resistance tests, which also occur at the $10,000 level. After this support/resistance tests, they continue to run.
10000美元的水平得到了重新测试并保持,这标志着一个新的支持区域。此后,比特币价格持续上行,从而突破12000美元关口。
The $10000 level was retested and maintained, marking a new support area. After that, Bitcoin prices continued to move up, breaking the $12,000 threshold.
随着11600-12000美元向上突破,现在可以确定一些有趣的水平,供交易员在未来几周观察。通常,在如此大的反弹之后买入并不是最好的策略,因为可能会重新测试较低水平
As $11,600-1200 breaks up, some interesting levels can now be identified for the traders to observe in the next few weeks. Often, buying after such a big rebound is not the best strategy, as lower levels may be retested.
如前所述,支持/阻力位在10000美元水平的确认为上涨动力提供了保证。在11600-12000美元的关键关口,在市场能够继续反弹之前,很可能需要一个支撑位的考验。
As noted earlier, the support/resistance position at $10,000 is indeed considered to be a guarantee of the upward momentum. At the critical point of $11,600-12000, a test of a support position is likely to be needed before the market can continue to rebound.
阻力位为$ 13,600-14,000和$ 16,500-17,000。不过,后者不太可能在未来几个月受到冲击,因为区间波动的可能性似乎更大。
The resistance stands at $13,600-14,000 and $16,500-17,000. However, the latter is unlikely to be hit in the coming months, as the potential for inter-zone fluctuations appears to be greater.
因此,交易者应该注意13,600-14,000美元区域和11,600-12,000美元区域,因为两者都可能成为未来几周的关键支点。
Dealers should therefore pay attention to the US$ 13,600-14,000 and US$ 11,600-12,000 regions, both of which could be key support points for the coming weeks.
正如本文前面所讨论的那样,在某些技术水平测试中,很有可能比特币的价格将朝着11,600-12,000美元的区域修正。
As discussed earlier in this paper, in some technical-level tests, it is likely that the price of Bitcoin will be revised towards the region of US$ 11,600-12,000.
因此,可以确定范围限定的技术结构。阻力位在13500-14000美元之间之间,支撑位在11600-12000美元之间。
It is possible, therefore, to determine the technical structure of the limited scope. The resistance is between $13,500 and $14,000, and the support is between $11,600 and $12,000.
这样的范围限制构造对于开始新的周期非常有益,因为它不断在更高的水平上积累。几个月后突破这个横向范围可能会看到下一个大动作,这可能会将比特币的价格推向17,000美元,甚至可能创下历史新高。
Such a limitation of scope is very useful for starting a new cycle, as it continues to accumulate at a higher level. Breaking through this horizontal range in a few months may see the next big move, which could push the price of bitcoin to $17,000, or even reach an all-time high.
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