比特币(BTC)在20日突破6.7万美元、创下历史新高，随后有所回落，但在24日短暂跌破6万美元大关后，开始重启涨势，昨日最大涨幅达7%。至截稿前，比特币报62,814美元，近24小时涨幅1.13%。
Bitcoin (BTC), after breaking out of $670 million on 20 and falling to an all-time high, began to reboot after a brief drop of $60,000 on 24, with a peak increase of 7 per cent yesterday. By the deadline, Bitcoin reported $62,814 and an increase of 1.13 per cent in almost 24 hours.
《Cointelegraph》报导，比特币守住6万美元的关键支撑，让持谨慎态度的持币者情绪高涨，并强化了看涨呼声，分析师Micha?l van de Poppe就认为，比特币正在迈向9万美元的路上，10月预计将在6.3万美元结束，今年最后两个月则将达到以往从未触及的水平。
Cointeelegraph reports that Bitcoin held on to the key support of $60,000, raised the mood of cautious currencyholders and reinforced the sound of watching up. According to analyst Micha? van de Poppe, Bitcoin is on its way to $90,000 and is expected to end at $63,000 in October, and to reach levels never reached before in the last two months of the year.
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五大因素
Five major factors
短期来看，外媒分析师认为，比特币走势有五个值得考虑的因素，包括现货价格坚挺、追随2017年牛市走势、VanEck比特币期货ETF即将推出、没有大规模的交易所抛售、市场情绪变得谨慎等。
In the short term, foreign media analysts believe that there are five factors to be taken into account in the movement of Bitcoin, including strong spot prices, the follow-up to the cattle market in 2017, the imminent launch of Van Eckbitcoin futures ETF, the absence of large-scale exchanges, and market sentiment.
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首先，投资公司Capriole执行长Charles Edwards认为，比特币期货ETF的推出，为比特币提供了坚挺的现货竞价，有助于抵消人们对比特币的总体疑虑。
First, the investment company Capriole's executive, Charles Edwards, argued that the introduction of the Bitcoin futures ETF provided a strong spot bid for Bitcoin and helped to counter the overall suspicion of Bitcoin.
链上分析公司CryptoQuant执行长Ki Young Ju就在推特上分享图表指出，在24日比特币短暂跌破6万美元期间，就有高达8.4亿美元的资金借由市价单在期货市场上买入。
Ki Young Ju, Executive Director of CryptoQuant, who shared the graph on Twitter, noted that, during a 24-day short drop of $60,000 in Bitcoin, up to $840 million had been bought on the futures market by a market bill.
分析师Tech Dev则指出，比特币仍在以几乎不可思议的准确性重演2017年的走势，这也表明在今年结束之前，比特币价格水平将会比现在高得多，与2017年12月的爆发式上涨水平一致。
The analyst Tech Dev notes that Bitcoin is still repeating the trend of 2017 with almost incredible accuracy, which also suggests that by the end of this year Bitcoin prices will be much higher than they are today, in line with the outbreak-like rise of December 2017.
另一个看涨理由是，代号为XBTF的VanEck的比特币期货ETF将在本周推出，势必再度推升机构投资者的看涨情绪，XBTF的管理费为0.65%，将成为美国市场上第三档比特币期货ETF，VanEck也计划推出实物ETF，美国证券交易委员会(SEC)将于11月14日决定其命运。
Another reason for this increase is that the introduction this week of the Bitcoin Futures ETF of Van Eck, code-named XBTF, is bound to boost institutional investor sentiment again, with an administrative fee of 0.65 per cent for XBTF, which will become the third tranche of the United States market, ETF, and Van Eck, which is also planned to be launched in kind, will be determined by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on 14 November.
此外，链上数据方面，CryptoQuant数据显示，随着比特币节节攀升，交易所的比特币储备量却在持续下降，在牛市期间，比特币大量流入交易所，往往预示着大众计划卖出获利，而现在的情况表明，在达到历史新高后，持币者已对在短线上卖出没有什么兴趣。
In addition, with regard to data on the chain, CryptoQuant shows that, as the Bitcoin festival rose, the exchange’s bitcoin reserves continued to decline. During the cattle market, Bitcoins were pouring into the exchange in large quantities, often presage popular schemes to sell for profit, while the current situation shows that, after reaching historical heights, currency holders have shown little interest in selling on short lines.
市场情绪方面也有正面迹象，加密货币恐惧和贪婪指数(CryptoFear&GreedIndex)在上周达到极度贪婪后有所下降，在周一降至意味着贪婪的72/100，表明投资者正在变得谨慎。
There are also positive signs of market sentiment, with the CryptoFear & GreedIndex (CryptoFear & GreedIndex) declining after reaching extreme greed last week, falling to 72/100, which means greed, on Monday, indicating that investors are becoming cautious.
交易所稳定币流入狂飙
Exchange's steady inflow of currency.
另外，更加值得注意的是，链上数据公司Cryptoquant分享图表指出，在24日比特币即将跌破6万美元大关之际，交易所的稳定币流入突然大幅飙升，这表明投资者将此次修正视为买入机会，故将大量稳定币转入交易所。
Moreover, it is even more noteworthy that, according to the map shared by Cryptoquant, a data company on the chain, the exchange’s steady currency inflows suddenly surged at a time when Bitcoin was about to break the $60,000 mark on 24 days, indicating that investors viewed the amendment as an opportunity to buy and therefore transferred large amounts of stable currency to the exchange.
Cryptoquant表示：在这段时间里，流入交易所的稳定币地址数量急剧增加，我们认为达到8万个地址以上，在接下来的几个小时更是达到了20万个地址以上，这可以在短期内创造一个看涨的局面，比特币购买潮可能会到来。
According to Cryptoquant, during this period, the number of stable currency addresses flowing into the exchange has increased dramatically, and we believe that there are more than 80,000 addresses, and more than 200,000 in the next few hours, which could create an upswing in the short term, with the possibility of a bitcoin purchasing wave.
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