最近只有比特币长牛，前几个月价格开始爬升的时候，对大多数人来说都是后知后觉的，比如说我。实际上，从今年1月到5月，比特币一直在攀升，不温不火就翻了1倍多，特别是6月到来，持续上攻势头独一无二。别的币要么持续横盘，要么跌跌不休，只有比特币一线长虹。
In fact, between January and May of this year, bitcoin has been rising more than a treacherous, especially since June, and the momentum has been unique. Other currencies have either continued to cross, or have fallen, and only bitcoin has long rainbows.
这个时候，我无数次地回忆起2017年的那个冬天，比特币达到12万人民币的时候，市场一片欢腾，贪婪的气氛到处涌动，我又会想起朴实的老妈说的一句话：“这是个啥东西，一年翻几倍的，太吓人了，赶紧落袋为安吧。”
At a time when I remember countless times the winter of 2017, when bitcoin reached 120 thousand yuan, the market was full of joy and greed, and I remembered the words of my mother, who said, "What is this, double it every year, it's scary.
只是，那时候，谁会接受只翻几倍的收益，只会相信还会一直涨，一直涨。然后，就是血的记忆了。
It's just, who's going to accept only a few times the return, just believe it's going to go up and up and up, and then it's the memory of blood.
6月26日，我已经连续纠结了好几天，先下车，等回调再上车，又或者下了车就没有上车的机会了？
On June 26, I spent days in a row, getting out, waiting for the callback, or not getting a chance to get in?
你看，每到比特币长虹的时候，原来自己想明白的事情，在这么大的利润冲击下，又开始变得不确定了，所以说任何的纸上谈兵都是不关于切身利益的，一旦关于，思考和行动就完全不一样了。
You see, every time a bitcoin reaches a rainbow, something that you've come to understand, at a profit shock of this magnitude, becomes uncertain again, so any paper talker is not about what's at stake, and when it comes to it, thinking and acting are completely different.
先梳理下思路：
Let's get this straight:
1、谁也无法短期预测市场价格。
1. No one can predict market prices in the short term.
2、长期趋势比特币持续看好。
2. The long-term trend continues to be favourable in bitcoin.
3、有涨必有跌，万变不离宗。
Three, there must be a drop in the rise, and there must be no break-in.
4、经历了上次牛市后，这次比特币领牛市，我不能再什么都不做，要把自己的思考化成行动，争取更大收益。
4. After the last cattle market, I can no longer do nothing to transform my thinking into action for greater gain.
5、频繁操作是最大忌讳，要抵御摇摆心态。
5. Frequent operations are the greatest taboo against swinging mindsets.
经过上述思考后，我判断不下车最重要。因为投资本来就是一个无限游戏，就算保本金，把本金从市场上撤下来，然后呢？除非为了生活必须，要花费，否则，最终，你还会把资金投入到投资市场去，这也是很多大佬一直满仓的原因。这是一个无限游戏，进入这个领域以后，很多人一生都得一直玩下去，除非像金山软件的求伯君一样，彻底退隐江湖。
After all this thinking, I judge that the most important thing is not to get out of the car. Because investment is an infinite game, even if it is a guaranteed capital, and withdraws it from the market, and then what? Unless you have to spend it for the sake of living, you will spend it on the investment market, which is why a lot of big guys are running around.
短期市场涨跌为什么无法预测，因为影响的因素太多，大到国际政治环境、国家政策、产业消息、新闻动态，人类心理、资本量级、社区推广等等，因素众多，谁也不能在准确把握所有影响因素的前提下做出短期预测。
Short-term market booms and falls cannot be predicted because of the many factors affecting the international political environment, national policies, industrial news, news dynamics, human psychology, capital levels, community outreach, and so on, and because no one can make short-term projections with an accurate grasp of all the influences.
但是如果放一定的长期规律来看，人类的投资活动又是何其相似，恐惧和贪婪交替涨消，从不停止。
But if a certain long-term pattern is put in place, how similar is the investment activity of humanity, where fear and greed are staggered and staggered and never ceases.
所以，我依然重点参考币圈最普通的贪婪恐惧指数。6月26日，该指数已经到达恐怖的95，市场的贪婪已经接近极致了。我需要有所操作。
So I'm still focusing on the most common fear index in the currency circle. On June 26, the index reached the horror 95, and the market's greed is close to extreme. I need to do something.
有涨必有跌，这是不变的规律，如何换到更多的币？我选择小小试水，将一个比特币挂单卖出，再等一个相对低点的价格再更多地买回来。
There must be a rise and a fall. That is a constant rule. How can I get more coins? I choose a little test water, and I sell a bitcoin and buy it more at a relatively low price.
我在当天，挂12810美元单，夜里成交。
I was hanging out for $12810 that day, and I had a deal at night.
虽然是小小试水，但是作为一个月也没看盘一次的我，卖出成功后，还是经不住隔几十分钟要去看看比特币的价格，盘算着等价格回落的什么时候再接回来。
Even though it was a small test of water, I did not see it once a month. After a successful sale, I had to wait a few minutes to see the price of Bitcoin, counting when the price fell.
盯了两天盘，终于在28日，以11000美元的价格，接回了1.1个btc，还结余了710个usdt，
After two days, on 28, at a price of $11,000, 1.1 btcs were returned, and 710 usdts were left.
可以去另外买点小山寨币玩玩。
You can go buy some more of that money and have some fun.
价格涨跌是必然规律，但是涨到何时卖，跌到何时接回，就要在盯盘中做出决定。实际上，我卖出的当天价格涨跌幅度很大，夜里4点钟的时候曾经跌到1万美元。可谓是多空双爆。第二天起床，知道已经错过了第一个买回的时间点。
Price rises and falls are inevitable, but when they are sold and when they fall back, the decision is made in a stakeout. In fact, the price that I sold the day went up and down a lot, falling to $10,000 at four o'clock in the night. It's a double explosion. The next day I get up and know I've missed the first point of time to buy back.
那怎么办，只有再等待机会了。于是那几天，几乎时刻在关注着比特币的价格走势，连上班都像丢了魂，会想随时看下k线图。
So what do we do, just wait for another chance? So, over the last few days, almost always watching the price of Bitcoin, working like a ghost, looking at the k-line.
然后看着价格步步变高的时候，一直在怀疑自己这手操作是不是做对了，是不是这1个比特币再也接不回来了。不过转念一想，还是坚定了自己的理念，不会的，价格有涨必有跌。只是不要太贪心。
And watching the price move get higher, he wonders if he's doing the right thing or not, and whether this bitcoin can never come back. But to think about it, it's still firm, it's not, and the price goes up and down. Just don't be greedy.
于是在盯了一天盘后，我觉得挂掉1.1万美元，能接回1.1个比特币是大概率事件。挂了以后，反倒一身轻松。
So after looking at the day, I think it's pretty easy to lose $110,000 and get back 1.1 bitcoins. When I hang up, it's easier.
一觉醒来，成交了，这个1比特币又在车上了，很好。
When you wake up, it's a deal, and this one bitcoin's in the car again. Good.
1、长期来看，趋势不变。
1. Over the long term, the trend remains unchanged.
2、短期来看必有涨跌。
2. In the short term, there must be some ups and downs.
3、以日来看，无法判断。
3. In the light of the day, it is impossible to judge.
4、我的指标，还是以市场恐慌贪婪指数为主要参考，太贪婪时，部分下车，让子弹飞一会，再上车。大概率会有效。
My indicator is also based on the market panic and greed index, which, when too greedy, part of it gets off, lets the bullet fly for a while, and then gets in. Probably the rate will work.
近期，我会验证重复操作。
In the near future, I'll verify the duplicate operation.
注册有任何问题请添加 微信：MVIP619 拉你进入群
打开微信扫一扫
添加客服
进入交流群
发表评论