短期行情分享
Short-term operations sharing
比特币：短期压力位在20880刀，强压力位在21881.8刀，短期震荡上涨的概率大，波段币友注意上攻压力位站不稳出来等。支撑位在19788刀，短期破位出来等。
Bitcoin: Short-term pressure at 20880, strong pressure at 21881.8, high probability of short-term shock rises, band-rate friends looking for up-and-coming pressure station instability, etc. Support position at 19788, short-term breakout, etc.
以太坊：短期压力位在1628刀，强压力位在1668刀，交易者币友，波段仓位明早12点前上攻不能突破站稳压力位出来等机会。支撑位在1560刀，强支撑位在1523刀，收盘破支撑位出来等。
Etheria: Short-term pressure at 1628, strong pressure at 1668, dealer friend, band position at 12 o'clock tomorrow morning can't break the opportunity to get out of stationary pressure position. Support position at 1560, strong support position at 1523, shut-down support position, etc.
宏观层面分析
Macro-level analysis
1，昨晚12点后我自己监控孙割以太坊钱包的链上动态触发报警，孙割向这个钱包转入了5633个以太坊。我注意孙割钱包是前面孙割出现过大幅度的转出砸盘，而目前转入，虽然咱们具体也不能确定是不是开始抄底了，亦或是有其它什么用途。但是转入总比转出好，至少从情绪面去看转入意味着看好后市了。（图片在下面币友们自己看）
One, after 12 p.m. last night, my own surveillance of Sun Cutter's chain triggered the alarm, and Sun Cutter turned to this purse to 5633 E-Channels. I noticed that Sun Cutter's wallet was a major roll-out from the front of Sun Clitches, and it is now being transferred, although we can't be sure if it's going down or for any other purpose. But it's better than going out, at least from the emotional side, that it means watching the market.
2，以太坊V神出来喊单以太坊2.0升级了，提醒以太坊用户们，合并是在9月10日至 20日左右，信标链硬分叉是在9月6日。确保在此之前更新您的客户端！白话就是以太坊在9月6号硬分叉升级信标链、在9月 10日至20日左右合并这些操作已经确定了，大概率是不会延迟的了。币友们想想以往以太坊每一次升级中，那一次不延迟，那一次不往后拖，这一次这么确定和迅速的一次搞定对以太坊本身就是利好。
Two, the Etherno V has been upgraded by the Ethio 2.0, reminding Ether users that the merger took place from 10 to 20 September, and the hard split of the beacon chain on 6 September. Ensure that your client is updated before that. The White Word is that Ethermy upgraded the beacon chain on the 6th of September, and merged these operations around the 10th to 20th September, probably at a rate that will not be delayed.
并且，本次以太坊2.0升级炒作这个预期预判目前行情就是还没有走完的，而从现在开始计算到9月20号左右的话，最少还有15天的时间可以炒作以太坊2.0升级的热度。
Moreover, this expected advance announcement of 2.0 in Taiga is not yet complete, and at least 15 days from now until the date of September 20, the temperature of the 2.0 upgrade in Taiyea will remain at least 15 days.
3，现在整个大盘确实有跌不动的趋势了，后期就算熊市真的没有走完，继续熊的话，个人也不相信行情能比前面的底部再跌多少。白话就是我不认为大饼还有10000刀以下的机会，更不相信以太坊还有300刀以下的机会。所以，顶部跑的时候没有赚最后一个铜板跑来的，下来抄底也不要苛求自己一定要抄底在绝对底部。
Three, it is true that there is a tendency for the whole plate to fall, and even if the Bear City is really not finished and continues to do so at a later stage, the individual does not believe that it will fall more than at the bottom of the front. In plain words, I do not believe that the Big Bread has a chance at less than 10,000, and Ithaya has a chance at less than 300. So, when the top runs, it does not make the last coin, and it does not have to be written down at the bottom.
4，今天看到的一个对美股刻舟求剑的历史数据复盘分析。因为目前咱们币圈由于本轮牛市机构牛，放水牛缘故导致与美股挂钩严重，所以我觉得这个刻舟求剑的消息也可以分享说来给老铁们打打气：
Four, a review of historical data on sword-searching in the United States was seen today. Because of the fact that our currency ring is now heavily tied to the United States stock because of the bulls of the roulette agency, the buffalo, I think it is also possible to share information about sword-seeking in order to breathe on the old irons:
自1962年以来至2018年间每隔四年中期大选时标普500的走势，每次周期大选前12个月，美股的走势都会比较纠结，而当中期大选后的3——6个月，有可能延伸到12个月中，标普500的表现都会明显的强于中期大选前，而这个走势是在美国历史上56年内都没有出错过。
Between 1962 and 2018, the trend of the four-year mid-term general elections of 500 has been more difficult for the United States than for the 12 months prior to each cycle, and when the three to six months after the mid-term general elections, with the possibility of extending to 12 months, the performance of the 500 is clearly stronger than before the mid-term general elections, a trend that has not been missed for 56 years in the history of the United States.
并且被多次使用后总结出一套比较完善的理论就是——美国中期大选时的美股上涨的幅度要比非中期大选时要高出20%，而真正美国总统大选的时候股市的表现也仅仅比同时多出5%。
And, after being used many times, a much better theory emerges: the United States share in the mid-term elections was 20 per cent higher than in the non-medium-term elections, and the real US Presidential elections showed only 5 per cent more performance than at the same time.
所以从历史数据上来看，美国中期大选后，才是美股爆发的时间，甚至有总结说，“中期选举年股市下跌的越早，复苏越强劲”。
So, from historical data, the mid-term election in the United States was the time when the United States stock broke out, and even concluded that “the earlier the stock market fell in the middle-term election year, the stronger the recovery”.
白话说就是，今年的中期大选在11月份，大选之后的3-6月也就是明年的1月，2月，甚至延长到来年的8月按照上面刻舟求剑的理论美股都会强势上涨的。而现在马上9月，后面10月、11月、12月今年结束进入23年了。而24年6月份差不多又是大饼第4次减半了。而对于大饼减半前一年，币友也可以回去刻舟求剑一下大饼减半前一年的走势。我拿最近的上次19年是减半前一年，而19年小牛老韭菜都知道的。而之前也基本上这个走势，减半前一年会有一个小牛的。因此，也就是共振明年大概率会有一个小牛的。
This year’s mid-term general elections will be held in November, in January next year, in March-June, after the general elections, in February, and even in August of next year’s year, in line with the theory of sword-seeking. Now, in September, the rest of October, November, and December, this year will end in 23 years.
这里需要注意的是，历史可以借鉴，但币友们千万不要完全复刻式的借鉴。因为，就算真的走行情也不会是简单的复制，而是在复制中也走出完全不同的预期来的。
What needs to be noted here is that history can be drawn from it, but it is important for monetary friends not to repeat it completely. Because, if it were true, it would not be simple reproduction, but it would come out of completely different expectations in reproduction.
这个就好比大饼每四年减半都有大牛市，并且圈币圈的币友老铁都知道。但是、但是、但是每一轮如期而至的大牛市，都由于过程中的各种走势与风波让行情没有完全的复制上轮行情走势，而使得赚钱的还是往二八定律里面去筛选了。所以，就算咱们刻舟求剑，中途咱们也需要有见机行事、见子打子、随机应变的对应策略。
This is like the Big Café, which is cut by half every four years, and the coins of the circle know it. But, but, each round that comes on time, the Big Cow, because of all the trends and winds in the process, does not allow complete reproduction of the swings, so that the money is sifted into the law. So, even if we fight for swords, we need to be able to do something in the middle of the road, see what we're doing, what we're doing, what we're going to do, what we're going to do, what we're going to do, what we're going to do, what we're going to do, what we're going to do, what we're going to, what we're going to, what we're going to, what we're going to, what we're going to, what we're going to, what we're going to, what we're going to, what we're going to, what we're going to, what we're going to, what we're going to, what we're going to do.
5，最后和币友们说一下，9月的大事件很多，8月份的CPI可以公布、非农数据公布、9月份的美联储休息一个月后的议息会议决定加息多少个基点、币圈最重大的以太坊2.0升级热点等。因此，9月份暴涨、暴跌都是有可能的。但是，综合目前市场上的消息来分析的话，个人觉得以太坊升级前震荡上涨的概率大。CPI、非农数据等公布后，具体就要看数据的好坏了，好短期继续反弹上涨跟进，不好短期暴跌洗盘。因此，建议币友们该谨慎的谨慎，该贪婪的也果断贪婪就好了。
5 Finally, let's say that the events of September were many, that the CPI in August could publish non-farm data, that the Federal Reserve, after a month of rest in September, decided on the number of basis points to increase interest rates, that the currency ring was the most significant in the Pacific 2.0 hotspot, and so on. So, the September boom, and the fall, were all possible. But, when combined with the news in the current market, individuals felt that there was a high probability of a rise in shocks before Taimiya was upgraded. The CPI, non-farm data, and so on, depends specifically on how good the data were, so that the short-term ups and ups could not be followed by a short-term crash.
其他项目分享
Other project sharing
其它项目短期联动为主，埋伏的话，依旧是按照前面分析的OKB/UNI/DOT/FIL/ICP/ENS/OP/AAVE/MANA/IMX/LPT/APE/DORA/ETC/ZEN/KSM/XTZ/MATIC/ATOM等我所有分析过的项目，去研究考虑，今天加一个存在利好的FLOW进去。
The short-term linkages and ambushes of other projects continue to be based on the previous analysis of OKB/UNI/DOT/FIL/ICP/ENS/OP/AAVE/MANA/IMX/LPE/DORA/ETC/ZEN/KSM/XTZ/MATIC/ATOM for consideration and consideration of all the projects that have been analysed by me.
愿各位都能抓住这些板.上钉钉的预期行情，进行提早布局，做到阶段性顶部出现时分批出货止盈，阶段性底部到来时频繁接货上车。在币圈想要赚到钱也并不是什么难事。但是也就是这些看着都懂，想着都明白的道理和事情，里面蕴含着的是在投资中一次次的逆人性操作，众多仓位管理、币种基本面分析，行情K线技术面分析等的知识。也就是这些又使得很多已经在币圈混迹江湖几年的币友，还在痛苦的发出那一声声币圈赚钱真不容易的感叹!
May you all grasp these plates, the expected performances of the nails, the early layout of the stage top, the excesses of the batches when the stage top appears, and the frequency with which the stage bottom arrives to pick up the trucks. It's not difficult to earn money in the currency circles. But it's not difficult to imagine the logic and the things that all of you understand, but it's a combination of anti-human operations in the investment, a lot of position management, an analysis of the currency base, a technical analysis of the K-line, etc. That's what makes it hard for many of your friends who have been in the currency circles for years to make money in pain to make money in that ring.
既然你没有足够的时间、精力、技能、认知、资源、渠道来专心主攻币圈这档子事的话，还不如找一个靠谱点的机构、分析师跟上来的容易!利弗莫尔研究所有专业的分析师和技术团队，不仅仅是对币种K线、盘面的简单分析，其中还囊括了币种的基本面、技术面、信息面、市场的情绪面以及各种资金数据面的分析，还有不少行业内幕。欢迎对区块链和数字资产有兴趣的朋友一起交流!返回搜狐，查看更多
Since you don't have enough time, energy, skills, knowledge, resources, and channels to focus on the currency ring, it's not as easy as looking for a point-based institution, analysts to keep up with it! Lifmore studies all professional analysts and technical teams, not only simple analysis of the currency's Kline, plate, but also of the basics of the currency, technology, information, market emotions, and analysis of all kinds of financial data. Welcome to the inside of the industry! >
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