本文满载实质性信息,深度解读以太坊的本质及其行业影响。
This paper is full of substantive information and provides an in-depth reading of the nature of the Tai Wan and its industry implications.
一、什么是以太坊(Ethereum)?以太坊是一个基于区块链技术和智能合约运行去中心化开源应用(DApps)的前沿平台。这些DApps适用于那些需转移数字资产价值存储(如金钱、文档、登记项、数据等)、追求最低成本与无第三方介入的场景。
Ether is a front-line platform for decentralizing open-source applications (DApps) based on block chain technology and smart contracts.
平台内流通着一种实用型数字货币——以太坊(ETH),它是构建与部署DApps的核心驱动力,同时也是作为支付手段的选择,功能与其它加密货币类似。
There is a functional digital currency in circulation within the platform — with the Tai Po (ETH) — which is the core driving force behind the construction and deployment of Dapps, as well as an option as a means of payment with functions similar to those of other encrypted currencies.
二、以太坊的行业价值早期的加密货币旨在替代传统的支付系统,而以太坊则开创了新的格局,为区块链技术和加密货币领域拓展出更为广阔的应用空间。正如其创始人之一维塔利克·布特林(Vitalik Buterin)所述,以太坊被视为一个没有单一领导或掌控者的全球分布式计算机,宛如互联网的新形态,具备无限可能性。
While the early encryption currency was intended to replace the traditional payment system, Taiyo created a new pattern that expanded the application space in the area of block chain technology and crypto-currency. As one of its founders, Vitalik Buterin, saw it as a global distributed computer without a single leader or controller, like the new shape of the Internet, with unlimited possibilities.
以太坊的革新贡献包括:
The innovative contributions of the Etheraya include:
智能合约:源于尼克·萨博(Nick Szabo)于1997年的理念,布特林将其发扬光大并广为应用,使得自动执行交易并保障遵守合约条款成为现实。
Smart contracts: inspired by Nick Szabo’s 1997 philosophy, Butrin built on it and used it widely, making it a reality to automatically execute transactions and guarantee compliance with the terms of the contract.
DApps:利用智能合约,开发者能在以太坊网络上无须审查或第三方干预地创建与发布应用,且稳定性极高,除非所有节点同时离线,否则无法被关闭。
Dapps: Using smart contracts, developers can create and publish applications on the Etherm network without censorship or third-party intervention and are extremely stable and cannot be closed unless all nodes are offline at the same time.
ICO(首次代币发行):以太坊引领了一股风潮,让任何人都能创立自己的加密货币,并以此为项目筹集资金,尽管此举也曾滋生不少诈骗行为,但也催生了诸如柚子币(EOS)和波场币(TRON)等众多加密货币项目。
ICO (first issue of tokens): The Taiwan has led a wave that allows anyone to create their own encrypted currency and to raise funds for the project, although this has also given rise to a number of frauds, it has also given rise to a number of encrypted monetary projects, such as the EOS and the TRON.
如今,以太坊受到微软、亚马逊等业界巨头的青睐,这些企业正在整合以太坊协议,搭建云计算区块链即服务平台,让用户得以充分利用。
It is now favoured by such giants as Microsoft and Amazon, which are consolidating their agreement to build a cloud-based block chain, a service platform, to enable users to take full advantage of it.
三、驱动以太坊未来发展的重要因素以太坊当前面临交易速度低下与可扩展性问题的挑战,曾发生过的加密猫事件导致网络严重拥堵就是一个实例。为解决这些问题,布特林规划推出以太坊2.0版本。
In order to address the current challenges of low speed and scalability of transactions in Etheria, a case in point is the encoded cat incident, which resulted in severe Internet congestion. To address these problems, Botlin is planning to launch an Ether 2.0 version.
以太坊2.0预计自2020年初开始逐步推行,按照七阶段路线图进行升级。然而,部分阶段仍在研究阶段,缺乏明确的技术规范,因此全面实施可能需要数年时间。
However, part of the phase is still in the research phase and lacks clear technical specifications, so full implementation may take several years.
阶段0:无分片的权益证明(PoS)信标链
Stage 0: PoS beacon chain without fractions
阶段1:基本分片,但不含EVM(以太坊虚拟机)
Phase 1: Basic Fragmentation but not EVM (Etheria Virtual Machine)
阶段2:引入EVM状态转换功能
Phase 2: Introduction of the EVM conversion function
阶段3:轻客户端(Light Client)状态协议
Phase 3: Light client status protocol
阶段4:跨分片交易
Phase 4: Cross-sectional transactions
阶段5:确保主链紧密联系并保证安全性
Phase 5: Ensuring close linkages and security in the main chain
阶段6:超二次或指数级分片
Phase 6: Exceeding secondary or index fractions
未来重要改进包括:将区块链迁移到能耗更低的权益证明算法,以及引入分片技术,以实现多条平行链独立处理交易的同时,共享统一的网络和历史记录。
Important future improvements include the migration of block chains to less energy-consuming equity certificate algorithms, and the introduction of segment technology to share a unified network and historical records while independently processing transactions in multiple parallel chains.
以太坊未来的价格走势将直接受到上述计划成功与否的影响。这个愿景宏大,风险亦然,市场反应及开发团队能否按期完成任务都将决定其未来的命运。
The future price trends of Taiyana will be directly influenced by the success of the program. This vision is ambitious and risky, and the market response and development team’s ability to deliver on schedule will determine their future.
四、以太坊(ETH)价格预测WalletInvestor 预测:对2020年至2024年, WalletInvestor表示看好以太坊的长期前景。明年,价格区间预计在183-363美元,到了明年底将达到338美元。虽然2021年可能出现下跌行情,但此后几年将逐步回升,直至2024年回落至363美元左右。
WalletInvestor predicts that for 2020 to 2024, WalletInvestor looks forward to the long-term prospects of Etheria. Next year, the price range is expected to be $183-363 and will reach $338 by the end of next year.
TradingBeasts 预测:TradingBeasts预测以太坊的未来一片光明。到2020年8月前,价格会从133美元降至126美元,年底前反弹至135美元。接下来的两年里,以太坊将持续稳步上涨,至2022年预期可达260美元。
The price will fall from US$ 133 to US$ 126 by August 2020, and rebound to US$ 135 by the end of the year. In the next two years, it will continue to rise steadily, and it is expected to reach US$ 260 by 2022.
DigitalCoinPrice 预测:DigitalCoinPrice认为以太坊有望持续增值,预计今年底达到261美元,并在未来五年内逐步攀升至569.28美元:
2020年 - 298美元
DigitalCoinPrice predicts that DigitalCoinPrice believes Ether is expected to continue to add value, which is expected to reach $261 by the end of the year and to climb gradually to $569.28 over the next five years:
2020 - $298
2021年 - 343美元
2021 - $343
2022年 - 350美元
2022 - $350
2023年 - 469美元
2023 - $469
2024年 - 442美元
2024 - $442
2025年 - 569美元
2025 - $569
在这个变革的时代,你准备做一名见证者还是参与者?对于选择投身其中的人来说,挖矿无疑是获取数字货币最经济实惠的方式之一!若感兴趣,欢迎私信交流探讨!
In this age of change, are you prepared to be a witness or a participant? Mining is undoubtedly one of the most cost-effective ways to obtain digital money for those who choose to go into it. If you are interested, welcome private exchange!
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