智通财经APP获悉,虽然比特币今年迄今已上涨了近 70%,但仍获得了业内人士的看好,其中一人表示,比特币涨幅未来可能创新高。比特币此前曾在 2021 年 11 月创下历史价格新高(68,990.90美元),此后已下跌约60%。总部位于美国的加密货币交易所Gemini的首席战略官Marshall Beard表示,比特币价格最高有可能达到10万美元。
According to APP, even though Bitcoin has risen by nearly 70% so far this year, one of them said that Bitcoin’s increase could be more innovative in the future. Bitcoin had previously hit an historic high in November 2021 (US$ 68,990.90), and has fallen by about 60% since then. Marshall Beard, chief strategy officer for the US-based crypto-currency exchange Gemini, said that Bitcoin was likely to cost up to US$ 100,000.
Beard认为比特币今年可能会突破历史新高,并补充道10万美元的价格是一个“有趣的数字”。如果比特币能达到之前接近6.9万美元的历史新高,则不需要太多时间就能涨到10万美元。而以现在的价格,比特币需要上涨 270% 左右,价格才能达到10万美元。
Beard believes that Bitcoin is likely to break out of history this year, adding that the price of $100,000 is an “interesting figure.” If Bitcoin reaches the pre-historic height of nearly $690 million, it won’t take much time to rise to $100,000.
稳定币发行商Tether的首席技术官Paolo Ardoino表示,比特币价值可能会被市场重估,其或将接近6.9万美元的历史高点。
Paolo Ardoino, the chief technical officer of the stabilizer, Tether, stated that the value of the bitcoin might be revalued by the market, or that it would be close to the historical high of $69,000.
对比特币价格创纪录新高的预测标志着市场的前景比1月份更加乐观,彼时行业高管告曾表示,他们预计2023年加对密货币市场来说将是谨慎的一年。
The record-high forecast of Bitcoin prices marked a more optimistic market than in January, when industry executives said that they expected a prudent year in 2023 vis-à-vis the tight currency market.
比特币=“数字黄金”?
bitcoin=Digital gold?
目前业界对比特币的部分积极看法实际上源于该资产在硅谷银行倒闭以及两家对加密货币友好的贷方Silvergate Capital 和 Signature Bank倒闭引发的银行业动荡期间的表现。比特币价格非但没有崩溃,反而反弹了。
The current industry’s positive view of Bitcoin actually stems from the performance of the asset during the banking turmoil caused by the collapse of the Silicon Valley Bank and the collapse of the two secured money-friendly lenders, Silvergate Capital and Signature Bank. Instead of collapsing, Bitcoin prices rebounded.
比特币支持者表示,这证明比特币正在提供一种替代传统银行系统的方式,一定程度上能作为人们保护资金安全的场所。
According to Bitcoin supporters, this proves that Bitcoin is providing an alternative to the traditional banking system, which in part serves as a safe place for people to protect their funds.
Bittrex Global首席执行官Oliver Linch在巴接受采访时表示:“我认为,人们已经被银行系统的崩溃吓坏了,这一反弹是可以解释的。”
In an interview with Bar, Oliver Linch, Chief Executive Officer of Bittrex Global, said: “I think people have been terrified by the collapse of the banking system and this rebound can be explained”.
多年来,比特币的拥护者一直认为比特币是“数字黄金”的一种形式——一种可以为投资者提供对冲通胀和动荡时期投资的避险资产。但在过去几年里,比特币价格波动一直与股市相关,尤其是以科技股为主。现有迹象表明比特币与今年的表现大大优于股市、许多其他风险资产和黄金。
For many years, Bitcoin’s supporters have considered Bitcoin to be a form of “digit gold” – a risk-free asset that can provide investors with a hedge against inflation and volatile times. But, over the past few years, bitcoin price volatility has been associated with the stock market, especially with the technology stock.
此外,比特币也受到了提振,人们希望银行业危机可能会降低美联储在加息方面的积极性,这将利好于加密货币等风险资产。
In addition, bitcoin has been boosted, and it is hoped that the banking crisis may reduce the Fed's incentive to raise interest rates, which would be better than risk assets such as encrypted currency.
价格涨至100万美元?
price up to $1 million?
自3月17日投资者、Coinbase前技术主管Balaji Srinivasan押注比特币在90天内价值将达到100万美元或更多以来,关于比特币今年价格走势的讨论一直很热烈。
Since 17 March, when investors and Coinbase's former technical director, Balaji Srinivasan, pledged that Bitcoin would be worth $1 million or more in 90 days, discussions on the price movement of Bitcoin this year have been intense.
Srinivasan 认为,随着恶性通货膨胀的爆发,美元价值受到侵蚀,国家、个人和企业或开始大量增持比特币,“比特币将被市场重新命名为数字黄金”。比特币100万美元的价格将超出目前该数字货币价格约3600%。大多数人都对这一预测泼了一盆冷水。
Srinivasan argues that, with the outbreak of hyperinflation, the value of the dollar has eroded, the State, individuals and businesses have either started to increase by a large amount of bitcoin, “bitcoin will be renamed digital gold.” Bitcoin's price of $1 million would exceed the current monetary price of the figure by about 3600 per cent. Most people have poured cold water on this forecast.
Gemini 的 Bear 表示,“可能比特币将会上涨,但不会像 Srinivasan 所预测的那样在 90 天内达到达到100万美元。其补充道,可能需要 10 年才能接近这个数字。
Gemini's Bear says, "Maybe bitcoin will rise, but it won't reach $1 million in 90 days, as Srinivasan predicted.
Tether的Ardoino回应了这样的观点,即”如果比特币在90天内达到100万美元,这可能意味着一场不同寻常的经济事件,而我对此持怀疑态度。”“因为如果比特币达到如此高的价格水平,将意味着整个世界经济体系将崩溃。我不认为那是我们所想要实现的。”
Tether's Ardoino responded to the view that, “If Bitcoin reaches $1 million in 90 days, it may mean an unusual economic event, and I doubt it.” “Because if bitcoin reaches such a high price level, it will mean that the entire world economic system will collapse. I don't think that's what we want to do.”
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