在接受CNBC采访时，比特币(BTC)密码行业的主要支持者之一表示，该公司将“重申”其立场，以实现超过100%的BTC年价格上涨。此外，对冲基金潘特拉资本首席执行官丹·莫尔黑德在10月31日出版的预测中表示，密码业务将继续扩张。
In an interview with the CNBC, one of the main supporters of the Bitcoin (BTC) cryptography industry stated that the company would “reaffirm” its position in order to achieve an annual price increase of more than 100% of BTC prices. Moreover, Dan Morheid, Chief Executive Officer of the hedge fund Pinterla Capital, in a forecast published on 31 October, said that the password business would continue to expand.
莫雷黑德:"我们很容易看到"40%的股票崩溃
Morehead: "We're easy to see" 40% of the stock collapse.
比特币 封闭的 十月上涨29%,看到 2023年第二好月份 在此过程中又回到18个月的高点。
Bitcoin was closed up by 29 percent in October, seeing the second best month of 2023 back to 18 months of height in the process.
然而,从宏观经济状况来看,潘特拉的莫尔黑德和其他人关注的是另一类风险资产--他所描述的"大规模高估"股票。
However, in macroeconomic terms, Morherd of Pantra and others are concerned with another type of risky asset -- the "large-scale overvaluation" that he describes.
"股市被高估是因为市盈率与利率下跌时的水平相同,但现在的市盈率要高得多,而且还在上升,"他告诉cnBC。
"The stock market was overestimated because it was at the same level as when interest rates fell, but now it's much higher and rising," he told cnBC.
他表示:"如果你以5.0%的10年期债券计算50年平均股票风险溢价,那么股市应该比今天低23%。"
He said, "If you calculate an average 50-year equity risk premium on a 10-year bond of 5.0 per cent, then the stock market should be 23 per cent lower than today."
莫雷黑德提到美国宏观环境的变化,利率达到两年多来的最高水平。
Morehed referred to changes in the macro-environment in the United States, with interest rates reaching the highest level in more than two years.
"我并不是说--43%将在一夜之间发生,但我们必须牢记,在过去的13年里,在本世纪初和70年代,即80年代,股市一直处于平稳状态。
"I do not mean -- 43 per cent will happen overnight, but we must remember that for the past 13 years, the stock markets have remained stable at the beginning of this century and in the 1970s, i.e. in the 1980s.
"我们很容易又看到这一点。"
"It's easy for us to see that again."
尽管前景不容乐观,但莫尔黑德对比特币和最大的阿尔特币乙醚( Eth ),预测前者每年将增加一倍以上,与迄今为止的平均表现一致。
Although the outlook is not promising, Merhedbitcoin and the largest Altcoe ether (Eth) are projected to more than double each year, consistent with the average performance to date.
"比特币有14年的年增长率145%的趋势,"他表示。
"Bitcoin has a 14-year trend of growth of 145 per cent a year," he says.
"这是我的一般预测--它将重新显示其趋势,并将每年翻一番以上。"
"This is my general projection -- it will re-enact its trend and will more than double every year."
BTC价格表现的好时机可能只在 对霍德勒夫妇来说 .
BTC prices may be good timing only for the Hodlers.
在2024年整块补贴减半之前,有些人担心可能出现重大的撤回。
Until 2024, when the whole subsidy was halved, some feared a possible major withdrawal.
对于交易所的创始人之一菲尔比菲尔布来说,时机可能会集中在明年三月份之前的一个月。
For one of the founders of the exchange, Philby-Felbu, the timing may focus on one month before March next year.
如果这是股市下跌的结果,则前景并不明朗。
If this is the result of a decline in the stock market, the outlook is not clear.
据科因特莱斯特报道尽管如此,比特币还是成功地将其与股市的正相关性抛在了一边,这是研究公司桑蒂门特本周称之为典型的早期牛市信号。
In spite of this, according to Kointlerest, Bitcoin succeeded in setting aside its positive relevance to the stock market, a signal that the research company Santiment called this week a typical early cattle market signal.
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