比特币行情走势图是怎样的？

比特币从09年的发行价0008美分开始

Bitcoin's been issued for 0.0008 cents in '09.

期间最高涨到1280美金（相当于人名币的八千多）

Up to $1280 for the period.

现在价格一直维持在两三千人名币这个样子

The price has been maintained at the price of two or three thousand people.

因为开采的时间已经很长了

Because it's been a long time.

再一个现在价格已经处于下滑阶段了

Another price is already falling.

所以现在做比特币已经不是一个先机了

So being a bitcoin is no longer an advance.

可汗币是继比特币之后的第三代数字加密货币

It's the third generation of digital encryption after bitcoin.

现在的可汗币就相当于09年的比特币

Now it's like a '09 bitcoin.

价格很低

It's a very low price.

才进入中国将近两个月的时间

It's only been almost two months since I entered China.

看用户名一起期间

When the user's name is taken together,

1元10年变1200万，比特币破31万美元，它的市场前景如何？

What are the market prospects for 12 million dollars in 10 years and $310,000 dollars in bitcoin?

比特币在2014年9月份到11月份的价格在300 - 500美元之间，约为1800 - 3000元。下面是一年之间的价格统计图。

Bitcoin’s prices between September and November 2014 ranged from $300 to $500, about 1800 to 3000.

本数据来自Blockchain，仅供参考。

This data is from Blockchain, for information purposes only.

比特币的价格走势是怎样的？

What's the price of Bitcoin?

根据最新的消息来看，比特币的价格已经突破了31万美元，那么比特币的市场前景到底如何呢？毕竟在短短的十年时间，比特币从一元蹦到了1200万，可以说实现了。1200万倍的增值，这个在所有的投资市场那么都是没有办法看到的。对于比特币，我也看了相关的报道，在这里跟大家分享一下我对他的一些看法。

According to the latest news, the price of Bitcoin has broken over $310,000, so what is the market outlook for Bitcoin? After all, in just 10 years, Bitcoin jumped from one dollar to 12 million, which can be said to have been achieved. Twelve million times the value added, which is so unattainable in all investment markets.

比特币到底值不值得投资呢？

Is it worth the investment?

首先在这里可以明确的告诉大家，我不介意任何人投资比特币，我也在其他问题下边进行了回答，始终就是它是没有任何信用背书的，而且这一次的涨价虽然非常的顺利，但实际上却有很多令人奇怪的地方。最为重要的就是比特币为什么可以如此快速的上涨，而且为什么可以出现这么多的新人呼天盖地的涌入到我们的视线当中。

First of all, I can clearly tell you that I don’t mind anyone investing in bitcoin, and I have answered under other questions, that it has no credit endorsement, and that this price increase, while very smooth, actually has a lot to say. The most important thing is why bitcoin can rise so fast, and why so many new people can come into our sight.

如何看待比特币的上涨？在我看来，比特币的上涨是一个必然的过程，因为它的数量是有限的，但是这不意味着比特币的价格会出现上涨，因为比特币所在的区块链现在并没有具体的使用价值，所以它也不能够创造财富。作为一个虚拟的货币，比特币现在的价值存在的严重的虚高。

How to see the bitcoin rise? In my view, the bitcoin rise is a inevitable process, because it is limited in number, but it does not mean that the price of bitcoin will rise, because the bitcoin chain now has no specific value for use, so it will not be able to create wealth. As a virtual currency, the bitcoin now has a serious high value.

如何看到现在的比特币投资？

How do you see the bitcoin investment now?

也有很多人都选择投资比特币，但是我没有办法阻拦他们，比特币的价格虽然高，但是我们也要知道自己的投资比例是多少，作为一个投资的人，如果不能够了解自己承担的风险，以及其背后的收益，那么就不要做这笔投资。比特币对于很多人来说都是一个陌生的领域，所以希望大家不要听信别人的谣言，就茫然的进入比特币市场。比特币虽然在不断的升值，但并不是我们这些人可以赚到的。

There are many people who choose to invest in bitcoin, but I can't stop them. Bitcoin, though high, has to know how much to invest. As an investor, don't do it if you cannot understand the risks you take and the benefits that lie behind it. Bitcoin is a strange field for many people, so hopefully you won't listen to rumours from others.

比特币涨破10万元，年内价格将要翻4倍吗？

比特币诞生于2009年1月，2017年11月29日，比特币价格首次突破1万美金，市值接近1700亿美元，并在12月19日攀升至历史高点2万美金。此后，比特币价格急速震荡下探。2018年3月，比特币价格跌破1万美金，并在年末下探至4000美元下方。

Bitcoin was born in January 2009, and on November 29, 2017, Bitcoin made its first breakthrough of $10,000, with a market value close to $170 billion, and climbed to an historic high of $20,000 on December 19. After that, Bitcoin prices were stunned. In March 2018, Bitcoin prices fell by $10,000, and at the end of the year fell below $4,000.

2019年4月，比特币价格曾一路走高，在7月攀升至12000美元上方，在8月末回调至1万美金以下后回温，9月下旬曾遇冷跌破8000美元关口，此后一度在7000至9000美元区间浮动。

In April 2019, the price of Bitcoin rose all the way up to $12,000 in July, when it returned to below $10,000 at the end of August, and in late September when it ran into a cold drop of $8,000 and then floated between $7,000 and $9,000.

2020年以来，比特币价格于2月突破万元关口后，在次月短时跌破4000美元，8月以后基本在1万美元上方。11月6日早间，比特币价格逼近16万美元关口，单价已逾10万元人民币，24小时涨幅达12%。较2020年3月最低价，比特币价格涨近300%。

Since 2020, the price of Bitcoin has fallen short of the next month by $4,000 and, after August, almost over $10,000. In the early morning of November 6, the price of Bitcoin was close to $160,000, with a unit price of over RMB 100,000 and a 24-hour increase of 12%. Bitcoin prices have risen by nearly 300% over the lowest price in March 2020.

扩展资料

Extended information

比特币具有极强的稀缺性：

Bitcoin is extremely scarce:

与所有的货币不同，比特币不依靠特定货币机构发行，它依据特定算法，通过大量的计算产生，比特币经济使用整个P2P网络中众多节点构成的分布式数据库来确认并记录所有的交易行为，并使用密码学的设计来确保货币流通各个环节安全性。

Unlike all currencies, Bitcoins do not depend on specific monetary institutions for issuance, which are generated by a large number of calculations, using distributed databases consisting of numerous nodes in the entire P2P network to identify and record all transactions and using cryptography designs to ensure the security of all links in currency circulation.

P2P的去中心化特性与算法本身可以确保无法通过大量制造比特币来人为操控币值。基于密码学的设计可以使比特币只能被真实的拥有者转移或支付。这同样确保了货币所有权与流通交易的匿名性。比特币与其他虚拟货币最大的不同，是其总数量非常有限，具有极强的稀缺性。

The decentralized properties and algorithms of P2P can themselves ensure that the value of the currency cannot be artificially controlled by mass-manufacturing bitcoin. The cryptography-based design allows bitcoins to be transferred or paid only by their true owners. This also ensures the anonymity of money ownership and circulation transactions.

参考资料来源：百度百科-比特币

Source: 100-degree encyclopedia-bitcoin.

丢1块硬盘损失8亿是怎回事 1块硬盘能损失8亿？

What's the point of losing $800 million to a hard drive?

对于一个爱投资的人来说，比特币相信大家都不会陌生。在08年的时候，比特币还是以极低的价格出现在我们的视野当中。但是18年之后比特币的价格便开始疯涨，很快便突破了万元大关。现如今比特币已经涨破了十万元每个，而比特币并不是真实的资金或是物质类财产而是虚拟货币，这样一个虚拟货币在互联网当中，价值竟然被炒到了十万元之上，如此的疯狂到底是什么在背后推动呢？

For an investment-loving person, Bitcoin believed no one was strange. In '08, Bitcoin appeared in our sights at a very low price. But 18 years later, Bitcoin’s prices began to go crazy, and quickly broke the 10,000 dollar mark. Now that bitcoins have risen by 100,000 dollars each, Bitcoins are not real money or material property, but virtual money.

而经过分析来看，虽然比特币在20年期间连续，上涨甚至一度达到了四倍之多。但是比特币他的上升空间也出现了乏力的情况，从现在的基金货币来看，比特币短期内的势头还是相对比较健康的。但后期是否会突破四倍之多，还有待更多的数据来参考，当然伴随着比特币虚拟货币的上涨，其他虚拟货币也是跟风上涨，有的甚至在短短30天之内也涨幅超过了20%之多。

There is also a lack of capacity in Bitcoin’s rising space, and the short-term momentum of Bitcoin is relatively healthy in terms of the current Fund’s currency. But it will be four times as high in the future, and more data will be needed, with the increase in Bitcoin’s virtual currency, of course, with other virtual currencies rising, some increasing by more than 20%, even in just 30 days.

当然在我们国家修订了银行法的草案当中，也是公开的提到了虚拟货币对国民经济的影响，也明确的表示任何的单位和个人也是不能够私自的制作和发售，由数字代表的货币。这必将对比特币的上涨趋势，迎来一个迎头痛击。在国家机器的干预之下，比特币的疯狂上涨势头必定会有所减缓。但这仅仅只是限制国内的人民在虚拟货币买卖上的操作，并不是公开的，对虚拟货币进行封杀。

Of course, in the draft of our country’s revised banking law, there is also a public reference to the impact of virtual currency on the national economy, and a clear indication that no unit or individual can make and sell it on their own, and that it is a currency that is digitally represented. This is bound to hit a head-on upward trend in bitcoin.

而有人也是利用这样的漏洞，用人民币的方式在国外买入虚拟货币，最终再通过买卖来套现这样的行为，也是违反了中国外汇的相关制度，这样的做法无疑是引火烧身，甚至会带来牢狱之灾。当然现如今比特币价格如此之高，能够有余力购买的人大多数都是经济大鳄，并不会有散户接盘。

And it is also a violation of China’s foreign-exchange regime to buy virtual currency abroad in the form of renminbis, and eventually to buy and sell them. Such practices are undoubtedly a source of fire and even a prison sentence.

比特币在未来10年会不会暴涨？为什么？

Will Bitcoin surge in the next 10 years? Why?

丢1块硬盘损失8亿是怎么回事？为什么1块硬盘能损失8亿？

What's with the $800 million loss of a hard drive? Why does a hard drive cost $800 million?

《br》今年年初，一枚比特币的价值不过1000美元左右，相比其历史价格已经非常高了。极少有人预测到，在今年12月中旬，比特币曾一度逼近2万美元大关。根据权威网站Coindesk的报价，截至12月21日收盘，比特币暂报167635美元。

At the beginning of this year, the value of a bitcoin was less than $1,000, which is already very high compared to its historical price. Few predicts that, in mid-December of this year, Bitcoin was at a point close to $20,000.

▲比特币对美元价格历史走势图

History of bitcoin against United States dollar prices

2011年仅值6美分的比特币，如今一路逼近2万美元，6年时间比特币身价猛涨了二三十万倍。

Bitcoin, worth only six cents in 2011, is now close to $20,000, with two and a half million times the price of Bitcoin in six years.

根据CNN综合美联储、耶鲁管理学院等机构的研究数据分析，比特币已经超过了15世纪荷兰“郁金香热”，成为人类历史上增值速度最快的投资项目。

According to research data from the Consolidated Federal Reserve and Yale Institute of Management, among others, Bitcoin has surpassed the 15th-century Dutch “Tulip fever” and has become the fastest-growing investment project in human history.

▲红线代表目前比特币升值速度，绿线代表郁金香热时期

The red line represents the current rate of appreciation in bitcoin, and the green line represents the period of the tulip fever.

比特币史无前例的蹿红速度，也带来很多奇特的社会现象。

The unprecedented red speed of Bitcoin has also brought about a number of peculiar social phenomena.

比如最近一个月，英语口语中新添了一个词“无币人”(Non-Coiner)，形容一些没能及时“上车”而错过暴富机会的倒霉蛋。

In the last month, for example, a new word, “Non-Coiner”, has been added to the English accent to describe some of the losers who missed the opportunity to be rich by failing to “get in the car” in a timely manner.

而近日，“威尔士在线”报道的一则令人惊讶的本地新闻，让英国和欧美媒体开始关注起在这波比特币大潮中那些失意人的悲催命运。

And in recent days, a surprising local story, “Wales Online”, has brought to the attention of British and European and American media the sad fate of those who failed in this wave of Bobitco.

“威尔士在线”报道，纽波特市一位名叫詹姆斯·豪威尔的32岁男子在今年12月向当地市政府提交申请，希望得到允许能让自己挖掘当地的一座垃圾填埋常

“Wales Online” reports that a 32-year-old man named James Howell in Newport submitted his application to the local municipality in December this year, hoping to be allowed to excavate a local landfill.

▲威尔士在线报道

Wasles Online coverage

豪威尔甚至筹集了740万英镑(约合人民币6500万元)资金，他表示只要市政府点头同意他挖开垃圾填埋场，他将立刻把这740万英镑当作谢礼送给市政府。然而市政负责卫生工作的人员却几番强硬拒绝了他的请求。

Howell even raised £7.4 million (approximately £65 million) and said that he would immediately send £7.4 million to the city as a thank-you gift as soon as the city nods its consent to him to dig the landfill. But the city’s sanitation staff refused his request several times.

为什么会有人愿意出6500万去挖一座垃圾场呢？

Why would anyone want to spend 65 million to dig a dump?

原来在2013年夏天，豪威尔在家大扫除时疏忽扔掉了一块旧硬盘，硬盘里保存着7500枚比特币的钱包密码。豪威尔如今表示，他确信自己的旧硬盘被埋在当地的一个垃圾填埋场，他希望有机会找回自己当年挖矿得来的比特币。

It turns out that in the summer of 2013, Howell neglected to throw away an old hard drive with 7,500 bitcoins of wallet codes on it. Howell now states that he is convinced that his old hard drive was buried in a local landfill, and he hopes to have a chance to recover the bitcoins from his mine.

注意到，按照167635美元的最新价格，豪威尔4年前丢弃的比特币价值高达126亿美元，折合人民币高达83亿元!

It is noted that, at the latest price of $167.35, the value of the bitcoin abandoned by Howell four years ago was $12.6 billion and the equivalent of $8.3 billion!

这个倒霉蛋的故事可以从8年前说起。

This poor story can start eight years ago.

豪威尔是纽波特当地一位IT工程师，他从小就是一位电脑“极客”，对新技术很感兴趣。

Howell, a local IT engineer in Newport, has been a computer “extreme” since childhood and is interested in new technologies.

2009年2月起，豪威尔开始用自己的戴尔电脑参与比特币“挖矿”，具体来说就是运用电脑的计算能力解决数学难题，从而获得比特币。从时间点看，豪威尔算是全世界最早的比特币“矿工”之一了。

Since February 2009, Howell has been participating in Bitcoin “mining” using his own Del computer, specifically using computer computing to solve math problems and thereby get bitcoin. In time, Howell is one of the world’s first Bitcoin miners.

几年下来，豪威尔存下了7500枚比特币，但比特币价值涨幅不大，让他心灰意冷，最终决定停止自己的“挖矿”生涯。

Over the years, Howell saved 7,500 bitcoins, but the value of the bitcoins did not increase much, disheartening him and finally decided to stop his “mining” career.

2013年，他把自己用旧了的电脑拆开，在eBay平台出售零部件，但他将硬盘留了下来，因为他“内心深处依然没有放弃比特币升值的希望”。

In 2013, he unplugged himself with an old computer and sold spare parts on the eBay platform, but he left the hard drive behind because he “has no hope of giving up bitcoin appreciation deep inside”.

▲2013年媒体报道此事

The 2013 media coverage of the incident

据豪威尔本人向独立报记者表示，他在2013年夏季的某一次大扫除时，顺手将这块硬盘装进了家门口的未分类垃圾箱。

According to Howell himself to independent journalists, during one of his major cleanups in the summer of 2013, he accidentally loaded the hard drive into an unclassified garbage bin at the door of his house.

悲催的是，就在豪威尔丢弃这块硬盘的时间点上，比特币的价值开始了第一次“起飞”。当2013年11月，英国卫报报道此事的时候，豪威尔丢掉的7500枚比特币的价值就超过了400万英镑。

Sadly, the first “takeoff” of the value of Bitcoin began at the point when Howell abandoned the hard drive. When the British Guardian reported on the matter in November 2013, Howell lost more than 7,500 bitcoins of that value than £4 million.

▲2013年11月，英国卫报的报道

Report of the British Guardian, November 2013

2017年进入12月，比特币升值的速度令全世界感到炫目，几乎每隔几天就会刷新纪录。豪威尔此时再也坐不住了，他甚至找来了几位“股东”，一起筹资向市政府提出申请。

In December 2017, the pace of Bitcoin’s appreciation showed the world a show-off, making up its record almost every few days. Howell can no longer sit around at this point, even finding a few “shareholders” to raise money and apply to the city’s government.

根据《新闻周刊》报道，纽波特市政府一位负责垃圾场卫生工作的发言人强硬地表示，市政当局已多次明确拒绝豪威尔的请求。

According to Newsweek, a spokesman from the City of Newport responsible for sanitation in garbage dumps strongly stated that the municipality had expressly refused Howell's request on several occasions.

这位发言人表示，“想要重新挖开垃圾填埋场，可能会需要几百万英镑的资金，还有严重的环境污染风险。这种作业绝对不会得到我们的许可的。这个垃圾场目前有35万吨垃圾存量，每年还要新增5万吨垃圾，那块硬盘可能早就被压烂了，即使找到也于事无补。要想挖开垃圾场不仅不现实，而且有可能引爆危险气体。”

The speaker said, “It may take millions of pounds to rediscover the landfill, and there is a serious risk of environmental pollution. This operation will never be authorized. This dump has a stock of 350,000 tons of garbage, with an additional 50,000 tons of garbage per year, and the hard drive may have been crushed long ago, and even if found, will not help. It is not only unrealistic to open the dump, but it may also set off dangerous gases.”

我肯定肯定的告诉你，用不了10年一定会暴涨，但也一定会暴跌，只有在暴涨与暴跌之间波动才是比特币真正的价值所在，也是比特币的魅力所在，之所以出现这种情况，其原因如下：

I'm sure I'll tell you that it won't take 10 years, but it's going to fall, and that only fluctuations between surges and falls are the true value of bitcoins and the charm of bitcoins, for the following reasons:

一部分比特币是用于黑市中

A bit of bitcoin is for the black market.

众所周知，比特币作为一种虚拟货币，由于其匿名性，是很难被追踪到的，所以很多黑市中都会用到比特币来交易，但黑市往往是各个政府打击的对象，所以一旦经过大规模的打击，比特币就会大跌，就像之前中国出台了一个政策，不支持比特币法币交易的时候，比特币就出现了大跌，但我们要主要到的是，毕竟黑市利润大，即使打击了一阵子，又会恢复，所以又会涨起来。

It is well known that, as a virtual currency, bitcoin is difficult to trace because of its anonymity, so many black markets are traded with bitcoin, but the black market is often the target of various governments, so once it is hit on a massive scale, bitcoin falls, just as when China introduced a policy that did not support bitco coin transactions, bitcoin falls, but the main thing we have to do is, after all, that the black market is profitable, and even if it strikes for a while, it will recover, so it will rise again.

二投资属性强

Two investment attributes are strong.

做比特币的人，一部分人是做黑市交易的，另一部分是人就是投资人，而投资要获得巨大利润，必然是在不断地暴涨暴跌之中形成。如果一直跌，那不用说了，这个币就没有价值了，这个很好理解，那么如何一直涨呢？

One part of a bitcoin is a black market deal, the other part is an investor, and for investment to be profitable, it has to be in the midst of a rising and falling. Needless to say, the coin is worthless.

其实一直涨也会出现问题，原因是越早加入的人越赚钱，这样就需要不断地的有人进来，才能维持前面的人高收益，这其实就和庞氏骗局一样了，但世界上的人口是有限的，钱是有限的，所以不可能一直暴涨下去。

In fact, there are also problems, because the sooner people join, the more money they earn, the more people need to come in to sustain the higher earnings of the fronters, as in the case of the Ponzi scheme, but the world's population is limited, money is limited, so it is not possible to keep rising.

因此，必须在暴涨暴跌之中不断收割韭菜，无论是一直跌下去，或者一直涨下去，这个 游戏 都玩不了多久，只有暴涨暴跌这个 游戏 才能一直玩下去。

So, you have to pick up the pickles as you go up and down, whether you keep going down, or you keep going up, and this game won't last long, and it's just going to go up and down and down and it's going to go on.

过去10年要说投资什么回报率最高，我相信很多人第1个会想到的就是比特币，比特币从2009年开始诞生，2010年开始上市交易，到现在价格已经发生了翻天覆地的变化。

In the last 10 years, I believe that the first thing many will think of is bitcoin, born in 2009, traded in 2010 and now prices have changed dramatically.

比特币第一次开始交易的时候，折算下来价格也只不过是几美分，但是到了2017年末，比特币价格已经上涨到19,666美元，相当于一个比特币就可以在我国一个小县城买下一小套房了。

By the end of 2017, the price of Bitcoin had risen to $19,666, equivalent to a bitcoin that could buy a small suite in one of our small county cities.

虽然最近几年时间比特币价格有所下降，但截至目前其价格仍然达到12000美元左右。

Although bitcoin prices have declined in recent years, to date they have remained at around $12,000.

而且最近一段时间比特币价格上涨比较凶猛，7月初的时候，比特币的价格只有9150美元左右，到目前比特币的价格已经上涨到11,980元，短短一个月多一点的时间，涨幅高达30%，这个价格也创2019年6月份以来新高。

Moreover, the price of Bitcoin, which had risen more sharply in recent times, was only about $9150 at the beginning of July and has now risen to $11,980 in just over a month, up 30 per cent since June 2019.

看到最近一段时间比特币的表现，很多人都觉得未来一段时间比特币还有可能继续上涨，甚至觉得未来10年时间，比特币还有可能出现暴涨，就像过去10年一样涨个几倍甚至几十倍上千倍。

Looking at the performance of bitcoin in recent times, many feel that bitcoin is likely to continue to rise for some time to come, and even that bitcoin is likely to rise sharply over the next 10 years, several times, even several thousand times, as has been the case in the last 10 years.

不过就我个人而言，我认为未来10年比特币有可能出现一两倍的上涨，也有可能出现一两倍的下降，其波动性是比较大的，但想要出现暴涨，比如10倍以上的涨幅，我认为可能性不太大，这里面主要有几个方面的原因。

However, as far as I am concerned, I believe that bitcoin is likely to rise twice as much over the next 10 years, and that it is likely to fall twice as volatile as it is, but I think it is unlikely that there will be a sharp increase, for example, more than a tenfold increase, for a number of reasons.

过去十年比特币价格之所以出现暴涨，因为比特币刚推出来的时候价格比较低，只有几美分，并慢慢上涨到几美元、几十美元、几百美元，所以具备上涨的空间比较大。

Bitcoin prices have surged over the past decade because of the relatively low price of a few cents at the time of their introduction and their slow rise to a few dollars, several dozen dollars and several hundred dollars, so that there is much room for escalation.

但是目前比特币的价格已经上涨到12,000美元左右，真正具备实力去炒比特币的人越来越少，所以其上涨的空间肯定是比较有限的，正因为如此，2018年到现在，比特币的价格一直稳定在1万美元左右，并没有太大幅度的上涨。

But now that the price of bitcoin has risen to around $12,000, and the real power to fire bitcoin is getting fewer and fewer, there must be little room for it to rise, and that is why the price of bitcoin has remained stable at around $10,000 from 2018 to the present, not much higher.

过去10年比特币的价格之所以出现暴涨，因为比特币作为第1个数字货币，它受到市场关注非常大，而且比特币因为不受人为控制，已经成为了全球很多人用于非法用途的交易货币。

The price of bitcoin has risen sharply over the past 10 years because of the fact that bitcoin, as the first digital currency, has received considerable market attention, and because it is not controlled by man, it has become the currency of transactions that many people around the world use for illicit purposes.

但是最近几年除了比特币之外，市场还推出了很多类似的货币，比如以太坊、莱特币等等，这些数字货币同样具备比特币的功能，只不过是他们的知名度没有比特币高，所以价格没有那么高昂而已。

In recent years, however, in addition to Bitcoin, the market has introduced a number of similar currencies, such as Etherno, Leitecoin and others, which also function as bitcoins, but whose visibility is not as high as bitcoins, so that prices are not so high.

而且除了这些民间货币之外，目前很多国家的央行也在筹备发行数字货币，比如我国在前段时间已经正在苏州示范了数字货币，我相信未来会有越来越多国家央行会推出数字货币。

Moreover, in addition to these private currencies, many national central banks are currently preparing to issue digital currencies, such as the one that we have demonstrated in Suzhou in the previous period, and I believe that more and more national central banks will launch digital currencies in the future.

这意味着在市场上数字货币越来越多的背景之下，比特币的替代性越来越高，对应的大家对比特币的需求和吹捧可能就没有像以前那么疯狂了，到时候比特币的价格就缺乏上涨的动力。

This means that, in the context of the growing number of digital currencies on the market, the replacement of bitcoins is increasing, that the corresponding needs and blowbacks of bitcoins may not be as crazy as they used to be, and that by then the price of bitcoins would lack the incentive to rise.

综合以上2点因素之后，我认为未来比特币有可能会继续上涨，但涨幅不可能像过去那么猛，未来比特币更多就像一只股票一样，当市场资金比较宽裕的时候会有资金投进去，这样它价格就会上涨，而当市场资金收紧的时候，大家钱没有那么多了，比特币的价格就有可能出现下跌。

Combining the two factors above, I think that bitcoin may continue to rise in the future, but it is unlikely that the increase will be as strong as in the past, that bitcoin will be more like a stock, that it will be invested when the market is more generous, that its prices will rise, and that when market funds tighten, everyone will have less money, and that bitcoin prices may fall.

爆涨不敢说，但是年收益肯定会秒杀市面所有理财产品！

I can't tell you, but I'm sure the annual gains will kill all the property on the market!

用一句话。

With a word.

比特币：不是针对谁，在座的各位（房产、股票、黄金、基金、白银…）收益都是渣渣。

Bitcoin: Not for anyone, but for everyone here (property, stock, gold, funds, silver...) the proceeds are scum.

我也不知道，2017年开始手上有闲钱逢低价吸入，买个希望

I don't know. I've had money in my hand since 2017. Buy hope.

上一代人做股票，比特币是新一代年轻人追捧的金融衍生品，相信等这些年轻人掌控绝大部分经济的时候，比特币的价格一定是我们想不到的价格，我买了，不管多少，我买个信仰！

The last generation of stockholders, bitcoin, is the financial derivative of a new generation of young people, believing that when these young people take control of most of the economy, bitcoin's price must be the price we can't expect. I bought it. I bought it, no matter how much.

比特币用了十一年稳固其资产地位。

Bitcoin took 11 years to secure its asset position.

未来几年，极有可能会出现其世纪大行情，也就是说颠覆几代人的变化会在近几年出现。

In the coming years, it is highly likely that its century-old dynamics will emerge, that is to say, changes to destabilize generations will occur in recent years.

上一次，是股票等金融工具的出现。

Last time, there was the emergence of financial instruments such as equities.

年化30%问题不大

It's not a big problem with 30% annualization.

未来会在一百万人民币左右，因为比特币是数字货币的祖宗，世界收藏它的人最多。

The future will be around a million yuan, because Bitcoin is the ancestral family of digital money, and the world has the largest collection of it.

数字货币本身就是空中楼阁，这就是币圈经常剧烈波动的原因。数字货币未来的发展取决于场景应用落地，如果未来不能有持续性应用落地，最终将花开花落……

Digital money itself is an airhouse, and that is why currency circles are often volatile. The future development of digital money depends on the location of the scene, and if it is not sustainable in the future, it will eventually be spent...