比特币价格预测：BTC 跌至 67,000 美元

比特币（BTC）是全球领先的加密货币，最近未能保持其上涨势头，并转为看跌。在达到 69,977 美元的盘中高点后，BTC 迅速跌至 67,039 美元，目前价格为 67,600.32 美元，24 小时交易量为 359.3 亿美元。这种趋势的转变受到美国通胀意外下降的影响，这最初支持了上涨。然而，美联储出人意料的鹰派立场，预计 2024 年只会降息一次，而不是 3 月份预测的三次，这给比特币带来了下行压力。

Bitcoin (BTC), the world’s leading encrypt currency, has recently failed to maintain its upward momentum and turn to a downward spiral. After reaching the mid-point of $69,977, BTC quickly fell to $67,039, with a current price of $67,600.32 and a 24-hour trade of $359.3 billion. The shift in this trend was influenced by the unexpected decline in inflation in the United States, which initially supported the rise. However, the Fed’s unexpected eagle position, which was expected to fall only once in 2024, rather than three times in March, placed downward pressure on Bitcoin.

随着交易员展望未来，即将公布的美国经济数据，包括生产者价格指数（PPI）和每周初请失业金人数，预计将提供新的短期交易机会，并进一步影响比特币价格预测。

As traders look to the future, the forthcoming publication of United States economic data, including the Producer Price Index (PPI) and the number of initial weekly unemployment claims, is expected to provide new short-term trading opportunities and further influence the Bitcoin price forecast.

美联储出人意料的鹰派立场掩盖了疲软的消费者通胀数据，给比特币价格带来压力。政策制定者现在预测2024年只会降息一次，而不是3月份预测的三次。这种转变推高了美国国债收益率，使美元走强，进一步削弱了比特币。最初，人们对疲软的通胀数据有积极反应，但在美联储宣布后迅速消退。美联储维持利率不变，预计今年基准利率将达到5.1%，这意味着2024年只会降息一次。

The Fed’s unexpected Eagle stance masked weak consumer inflation data and put pressure on Bitcoin prices. Policymakers now forecast interest rates to fall only once in 2024, rather than three times in March.

此外，美联储将中性利率预测从2.6%上调至2.8%，支撑了美元并降低了比特币的吸引力。

In addition, the Fed raised the forecast of neutral interest rates from 2.6 per cent to 2.8 per cent, sustaining the United States dollar and reducing the attractiveness of Bitcoin.

在数据方面：

In terms of data:

• 美国劳工统计局（BLS）报告称，以消费者物价指数（CPI）衡量的5月份通货膨胀率自去年6月以来首次保持不变，年率从3.4%小幅下降至3.3%。

  The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that the May inflation rate, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), remained unchanged for the first time since last June, with the annual rate declining slightly from 3.4 per cent to 3.3 per cent.

• 剔除食品和能源价格的年度核心CPI在5月份上涨0.2%，按年上涨3.4%，而4月份为3.6%，预期为3.5%。

  The annual core CPI, which excluded food and energy prices, rose by 0.2 per cent in May, rising by 3.4 per cent annually, compared with 3.6 per cent in April, and is expected to reach 3.5 per cent.

因此，美联储更鹰派的立场和稳定的通胀数据给比特币价格下行带来了压力，因为美国国债收益率上升和美元走强降低了加密货币对投资者的吸引力。

As a result, the position of the Federal Reserve's more Eagles and stable inflation data put pressure on bitcoin prices, as higher rates of return on United States national debt and stronger United States dollars reduce the attractiveness of encrypted currencies to investors.

被称为比特币鲸鱼的大型投资者利用最近的价格下跌购买了大量比特币。6 月 11 日，他们积累了 20,600 个 BTC，价值约 13.8 亿美元——这是他们自 2 月以来单日购买的最高金额。本周早些时候，由于比特币的价格在 71,650 美元至 69,000 美元之间波动，这些鲸鱼每天持续增加 1,300 至 2,200 BTC。6 月 11 日的重大购买恰逢比特币价格大幅下跌。

Large investors known as Bitcoin whales purchased large amounts of bitcoins using the recent fall in prices. On June 11, they accumulated 20,600 BTCs, valued at about $13.8 billion -- the highest amount they had purchased since February. Earlier this week, these whales continued to grow by 1,300 to 2,200 BTC per day, owing to fluctuations in Bitcoin prices between $71,650 and $69,000.

尽管在 6 月 12 日积极的 CPI 结果之后价格短暂上涨，但截至报告时，比特币的交易价格为 67,500 美元。这一活动也恰逢加密货币交易所可用比特币数量的减少，这表明投资者预计中长期价格会上涨。

Despite a brief increase in prices following the positive CPI results of June 12, the transaction price of Bitcoin was US$ 67,500 at the time of reporting. This activity also coincided with a reduction in the number of bitcoins available on the encrypted currency exchange, suggesting that investors expect higher prices in the medium and long term.

因此，在6月11日的价格下跌期间，鲸鱼对比特币的大量积累表明了投资者的信心。这一趋势表明，在市场波动和交易所供应减少的情况下，比特币的价格可能会得到支撑。

Thus, during the fall in prices on 11 June, the massive accumulation of whales in bitcoin demonstrated investor confidence. This trend suggests that the price of bitcoin may be supported by market fluctuations and reduced exchange supply.

美国现货比特币ETF周三经历了显著的转变，净流入1.01亿美元，打破了近期的连续流出趋势。富达（Fidelity）的FBTC以5100万美元的投资领先，其次是贝莱德（BlackRock）的IBIT（1600万美元）和Bitwise的BITB（1500万美元）。VanEck 的 HODL 和 Ark Invest 的 ARKB 也分别流入了 1200 万美元和 900 万美元。

The U.S. spot bitcoin ETF went through a remarkable shift on Wednesday, with a net inflows of $101 million, breaking the recent trend of successive outflows. FBTC in Fiddleity led the investment by $51 million, followed by IBIT in Black Rock ($16 million) and BIT in Bitwisse ($15 million). HODL in Van Eckk and ARKB in Ark Invest also went into $12 million and $9 million, respectively.

相比之下，Grayscale 的 GBTC 以及 WisdomTree 和 Invesco 的基金没有报告新的资金流入。自推出以来，这些ETF共吸引了155.2亿美元。

By contrast, the GBT of Grayscale and WisdomTree and Invesco funds have not reported new inflows. Since their launch, these ETFs have attracted $155.2 billion.

美国现货比特币ETF的大量净流入表明投资者重新燃起了兴趣，在最近的市场不确定性和经济数据发布的情况下，这可能支持比特币的价格稳定在67,650美元左右。

The large net inflow of current United States bitcoin ETF represents a renewed interest on the part of investors, which may support the stabilization of Bitcoin prices at around $67,650 in the context of recent market uncertainties and the release of economic data.

富达（Fidelity）的FBTC以5100万美元的资金流入领先。周三ETF流入总额：1.01亿美元。自推出以来，ETF已吸引了155.2亿美元。

Fidelity's FBTC leads with $51 million in inflows. Wednesday's ETF inflows total $101 million. Since its launch, ETFs have attracted $155.2 billion.

比特币目前的交易价格约为 66,850 美元，在维持其在 65,985 美元枢轴点上方的位置方面面临挑战，这表明比特币价格预测看涨。比特币 （BTC/USD） 面临下行压力，交易价格为 67,600 美元。枢轴点设定为68,500美元，这是决定未来走势的关键水平。直接阻力位在 70,000 美元、71,700 美元和 72,900 美元。相反，即时支撑位位于 66,000 美元、64,600 美元和 63,200 美元。

Bitcoin's current transaction price is approximately $66,850, and it faces challenges in maintaining its position above the pivot point of $65,985, which indicates that bitcoin prices are projected to rise. Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is under downward pressure at a transaction price of $67,600. The pivot point is set at $68,500, which is the key level for determining future trends. Direct resistance is at $70,000, $71,700 and $72,900. On the contrary, support is now at $66,000, $64,600 and $63,200.

要点：

Highlights:

• 比特币交易价格为 67,600 美元，下跌 1.12%，枢轴点为 68,500 美元。

  The Bitcoin transaction price was $67,600, down by 1.12 per cent, and the pivotal point was $68,500.

• 直接支撑位在 66,000 美元，阻力位在 70,000 美元。

  Direct support at $66,000, resistance at $70,000.

• RSI 为 44 和 50 日均线为 68,800 美元，表明看跌趋势。

  RSI is an average of US$ 68,800 for 44 and 50 days, indicating a downward trend.

相对强弱指数（RSI）为44，表明动能中性。50 天指数移动平均线 （EMA） 为 68,800 美元，表明看跌趋势，因为当前价格仍低于该平均值。总之，比特币在 68,500 美元的枢轴点下方仍然看跌。突破该水平可能预示着看涨逆转，而低于该水平可能会加强当前的看跌偏见。

The relative strength and weakness index (RSI) is 44, indicating that the energy is neutral. The 50-day moving average (EMA) is $68,800, indicating a downward trend, as prices are still below that average. In sum, Bitcoin is still looking down at the axis of $68,500. A breakthrough in this level may portend a reversal of the upward trend, while below it may reinforce the current downward bias.