比特币价格重回7000美元的消息让沉寂已久的币圈又一次沸腾了。
The news of the return of $7,000 to the price of bitcoin has caused the long-silent currency ring to boil again.
Bitfinex数据显示，5月11日，比特币时隔7个月再次突破了7000美元，随后一个交易日5月12日，比特币价格更是一路冲高，达到了7448美元的年内高点。截至5月13日中午约12时，比特币价格约为7028.70美元，呈现小幅下跌趋势。
Bitfinex data show that on 11 May, seven months later, Bitcoin had again made a breakthrough of $7,000, and on 12 May, the next day of the transaction, Bitcoin prices were even higher, reaching an annual high of $7448. By about 12 p.m. on 13 May, Bitcoin prices were about $7028.70, a slight downward trend.
金融分析师肖磊对新京报记者分析称，本轮比特币的上涨源于全球风险资产的重构，以及加密资产投资渠道的拓宽。
According to the financial analyst Shaw, who analysed the New Kyoto newspaper journalists, the rise in this round of bitcoin stemmed from the re-engineering of global venture assets and the broadening of the channels for investment in encrypted assets.
不足两个月比特币价格几乎翻倍
almost doubled bitcoin prices in less than two months
比特币是目前市场上交易最活跃的数字货币之一，Wind数据显示，六年前的2013年1月6日，一枚比特币的价格仅为13.15美元。而在2017年12月16日，比特币价格曾一度飙升至1.92万美元达到历史性高峰，但随后便“跌下神坛”，到2018年，比特币价格持续震荡下行，其价格更是一度曾跌破4000美元。
Bitcoin is one of the most dynamic digital currencies currently traded on the market, and Wind data show that six years ago, on 6 January 2013, a bitcoin was priced at only $13.15. On 16 December 2017, Bitcoin prices jumped to a historic peak of $19.2 million, but then “falls down the altar” and by 2018, Bitcoin prices continued to collapse, and their prices fell by $4,000 at a time.
即便进入2019年年初，比特币也颇有点“萎靡不振”。据Bitfinex数据，在今年1~2月份，比特币价格还维持在3500美元左右，但自3月下旬以来，比特币价格涨势开始明显，到3月27日，比特币价格已突破4000美元。
Even at the beginning of 2019, Bitcoin was a bit “breathing.” According to Bitfinex, between January and February of this year, bitcoin prices remained at around $3,500, but since late March, bitcoin prices have started to rise significantly, and by 27 March, Bitcoin prices had exceeded $4,000.
随后，又在历经短短的第6个交易日后的4月2日，比特币价格一度触及5000美元。随后的一个月内，比特币价格更是一路飙升，到5月3日，比特币价格又飙升至6000美元，而后，又用了仅仅8个交易日，比特币价格就已突破7000美元。
Then, on April 2, after the short sixth transaction, the price of Bitcoin touched $5,000. In the following month, the price of Bitcoin rose sharply, and by May, the price of Bitcoin soared to $6,000, and then, after just eight trading days, the price of Bitcoin exceeded $7,000.
数据显示，到5月11日，比特币正式突破7000美元，时隔7个月重回了7000美元门槛。而后，比特币走势更是“后劲十足”，冲到了7448美元的年内高点。截至5月13日中午约12时，比特币价格约为7028.70美元，呈现小幅下跌趋势。
According to the data, by 11 May, Bitcoin had officially broken the $7,000 threshold, returning to the $7,000 threshold seven months later. After that, Bitcoin moved even more “backwardly” to an annual high of $7448. By about 12 p.m. on 13 May, Bitcoin prices stood at approximately $7028.70, a slight downward trend.
什么因素推动了本轮上涨？
What's driving this round up?
分析师：避险需求提升
Analyst: Increased demand for risk avoidance
过去两个月比特币上涨的趋势，用“迅猛”来形容或许更为贴切，在不足两个月的时间之内，比特币价格几乎翻倍，在目前全球投资市场低迷的情况之下，比特币这一走势无疑十分引人关注。
The upward trend in bitcoin over the past two months may be even more relevant in terms of “quickness”, with bitcoin prices almost doubling in less than two months, a trend that is undoubtedly of great concern in the context of the current downturn in global investment markets.
到底是什么因素推动了比特币价格的本轮上涨？金融分析师肖磊对新京报记者表示，比特币的上涨源于全球风险资产的重构，以及加密资产投资渠道的拓宽，近日以来证券和外汇等市场波动加剧，全球投资者寻找可以避险的资产，传统避险资产黄金更依赖于实体经济和通胀预期，而比特币更像是敏感指数，获得一定的资产对冲优势。
What contributed to the current round rise in the price of bitcoin? The financial analyst, Shao Xiao, told Newjing reporters that the rise in bitcoin stemmed from the re-establishment of global venture assets, as well as from the widening of channels for investment in encrypted assets, increased market volatility in recent years, such as securities and foreign exchange, global investors looking for safe assets, and that gold from traditional hedged assets depended more on real economic and inflationary expectations, and that bitcoin was more like a sensitive index, gaining a certain asset hedge advantage.
肖磊分析称，从内部发展来看，一些主流国际投资机构开始介入比特币投资，给用户提供相关服务，这个也是短期预期影响因素。
Xiaoqing analysed that, in terms of internal development, some mainstream international investment institutions had begun to intervene in bitcoin investments to provide related services to users, which was also a short-term expected influence.
比特币资深分析师黄毅（化名）则对新京报记者表坦言，比特币去年的确跌得太惨了，今年整个市场上的钱也越来越多了，资金面比较宽松，所以今年的股市、币市都呈现出比较好的行情，这是一个大的基础。
The Senior Bitcoin Analyst, Huang Yi, told the New King newspaper journalist that Bitcoin had indeed fallen too badly last year, and that the market had become more and more expensive this year, so this year’s stock and currency markets have shown better behaviour, which is a big foundation.
“其次，比特币也有那个避险的功能，近期，中国与美国有一些摩擦，所以对于真正的有钱人来说，最重要的是对冲风险，包括对冲人民币的风险、对冲股市下跌的风险。基于这种心理，这些‘大户’就有意愿和能力去把手里的法币换成比特币。一是他们可以借比特币这一‘通道’，把人民币资产换成美元资产。另外，也可以借助买入比特币这一举动，推动比特币价格上涨，实现投资收益，我觉得这一轮拉升还是因为真正的有钱人在买比特币。” 黄毅说。
“Second, bitcoin also has that hedge function. In recent times, China and the United States have some frictions, so the most important thing for real rich people is the risk of hedges, including the risk of hedges against the renminbi and the risk of a fall in the stock market. Based on this mentality, these ‘large households’ have the will and the ability to exchange the coins in their hands for bitcoins.
后市：比特币价格还有一定的上涨空间 但短期风险较大
: Bitcoin prices have some scope for upswing, but short-term risks are greater
这轮比特币上涨行情，让一些投资者心动。北京的一位投资者王先生表示，早前投资比特币曾小小地赚过一些钱。不过在前一次比特币价格下跌时，清空了所持的比特币。如今再度看到上涨行情，他准备观望下，待价格下跌后，看看还有没有入场的机会。
This cycle of bitcoin rises to the heart of some investors. An investor from Beijing, Mr. Wang, said that investment in bitcoin had made a small amount of money earlier.
不过，在新京报记者的采访中，更多的投资者表示，对当下的行情比较心动，但是不懂这个市场，所以不敢贸然行动，需要持续观望。“如果比特币能再跌回3000多美元，感觉还是可以入手的。”一位投资者如此表示。
However, in an interview with a journalist from the New Kyoto newspaper, more investors said that they were more interested in the current situation, but were not aware of the market, so they were afraid to act and would have to wait and see. “If Bitcoin could fall back to over $3,000, it would feel possible to do so.” One investor said so.
即便不少投资者在投资比特币上赚到了钱，但市场上也仍有不少声音反对比特币。例如股神巴菲特，据澎湃新闻报道，在伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司第54届股东周年大会现场，巴菲特在现场再度谈及比特币，他说，比特币投机活动让他联想到了人们在美国拉斯维加斯赌博的感觉。这两件事都让他对自己能够在一个“人们知道自己可能会输的时候进行投机的世界里”赚钱充满信心。
Even though many investors have earned money in bitcoin, there are still many voices in the market against bitcoin. For example, the Equinoxist Buffett, who, according to press reports, talked about bitcoin again on the scene at the fifty-fourth annual shareholder meeting of Birkhhir Hassaway, said that Bitcoin speculation reminded him of the feeling that people gambled in Las Vegas, United States.
值得关注的是，作为一种数字资产，比特币还存在着较大的安全隐患。新京报记者注意到，全球第二大区块链代币交易所币安（Binance），首次公开承认比特币被盗。5月8日，币安官网发布消息称发现大规模安全漏洞，币安热钱包7000枚比特币被盗，占其比特币总持有量的2%，损失超四千万美元。
It is worth noting that, as a digital asset, Bitcoin still has a significant security risk. New Kyoto reporters noted that, for the first time, Binance, the second largest sector in the world, publicly admitted that Bitcoin had been stolen.
对于比特币的后市，专家又如何看？肖磊对新京报记者表示，“未来看，比特币价格还有一定的（上涨）空间，但短期涨幅过快可能引起冲高回落的风险。”
What do the experts think about the post-bitcoin city? Shaw said to the Newjing newspaper reporter, “The price of bitcoin has some scope (up) in the future, but a short-term increase too fast could create a risk of falling back.”
新京报记者 潘亦纯 编辑 王宇 校对 柳宝庆 李立军
Mr. Pan Ya Jun, editor of the New Kyoto newspaper, Mr. Wang Woo, Mr. Nbsp, Mr. Liu Baoqing, Mr. Lee Lianjun.
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